Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion at a 52% implied probability for the March 31 snapshot, closely trailed by the $640-650 billion bin at 31%, reflecting Bloomberg Billionaires Index's $644 billion estimate as of March 27—down $9.93 billion daily amid Tesla shares closing at $361.83, a roughly 6% weekly retreat from mid-March highs near $390. This pullback in Tesla's market cap, where Musk holds about 13% stake valued over $150 billion, overshadows SpaceX-xAI merger gains from February that briefly pushed totals past $800 billion per Forbes. With markets closed over the weekend, Monday trading and any late corporate disclosures could sway final positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado<640b 54%
640-650b 31%
650-660b 7%
660-670b 5.0%
$567,676 Vol.
$567,676 Vol.
<640b
54%
640-650b
31%
650-660b
7%
660-670b
5%
670-680 bilhões
2%
680-690b
1%
690-700b
<1%
700-710b
1%
710b+
3%
<640b 54%
640-650b 31%
650-660b 7%
660-670b 5.0%
$567,676 Vol.
$567,676 Vol.
<640b
54%
640-650b
31%
650-660b
7%
660-670b
5%
670-680 bilhões
2%
680-690b
1%
690-700b
<1%
700-710b
1%
710b+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion at a 52% implied probability for the March 31 snapshot, closely trailed by the $640-650 billion bin at 31%, reflecting Bloomberg Billionaires Index's $644 billion estimate as of March 27—down $9.93 billion daily amid Tesla shares closing at $361.83, a roughly 6% weekly retreat from mid-March highs near $390. This pullback in Tesla's market cap, where Musk holds about 13% stake valued over $150 billion, overshadows SpaceX-xAI merger gains from February that briefly pushed totals past $800 billion per Forbes. With markets closed over the weekend, Monday trading and any late corporate disclosures could sway final positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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