Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has driven the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removal of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and reduced the scope for organized dissent or rival factions. These measures build on years of party discipline and institutional controls that have prevented successful challenges since 1989. No verified military or elite actions have materialized despite periodic unconfirmed rumors, aligning with historical patterns of leadership stability in one-party systems. While an unforeseen economic shock or health-related succession crisis could theoretically introduce volatility, such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$128,714 Vol.
$128,714 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$128,714 Vol.
$128,714 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has driven the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removal of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and reduced the scope for organized dissent or rival factions. These measures build on years of party discipline and institutional controls that have prevented successful challenges since 1989. No verified military or elite actions have materialized despite periodic unconfirmed rumors, aligning with historical patterns of leadership stability in one-party systems. While an unforeseen economic shock or health-related succession crisis could theoretically introduce volatility, such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$128,714Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has driven the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removal of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and reduced the scope for organized dissent or rival factions. These measures build on years of party discipline and institutional controls that have prevented successful challenges since 1989. No verified military or elite actions have materialized despite periodic unconfirmed rumors, aligning with historical patterns of leadership stability in one-party systems. While an unforeseen economic shock or health-related succession crisis could theoretically introduce volatility, such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,726Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army has driven the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removal of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and reduced the scope for organized dissent or rival factions. These measures build on years of party discipline and institutional controls that have prevented successful challenges since 1989. No verified military or elite actions have materialized despite periodic unconfirmed rumors, aligning with historical patterns of leadership stability in one-party systems. While an unforeseen economic shock or health-related succession crisis could theoretically introduce volatility, such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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