President Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power through institutional controls, military loyalty mechanisms, and successive leadership transitions has produced a stable political environment with minimal visible elite fractures or organized opposition. The Chinese Communist Party's centralized structure, reinforced by ongoing internal discipline processes and security apparatus dominance, continues to limit pathways for any sudden challenge before 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% on no coup attempt reflects this entrenched stability and the historical pattern of orderly succession within the system. Potential shifts could still arise from unforeseen leadership health events, acute economic pressures generating elite discontent, or major external crises that expose internal divisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$128,326 Vol.
$128,326 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$128,326 Vol.
$128,326 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power through institutional controls, military loyalty mechanisms, and successive leadership transitions has produced a stable political environment with minimal visible elite fractures or organized opposition. The Chinese Communist Party's centralized structure, reinforced by ongoing internal discipline processes and security apparatus dominance, continues to limit pathways for any sudden challenge before 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% on no coup attempt reflects this entrenched stability and the historical pattern of orderly succession within the system. Potential shifts could still arise from unforeseen leadership health events, acute economic pressures generating elite discontent, or major external crises that expose internal divisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$128,326Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power through institutional controls, military loyalty mechanisms, and successive leadership transitions has produced a stable political environment with minimal visible elite fractures or organized opposition. The Chinese Communist Party's centralized structure, reinforced by ongoing internal discipline processes and security apparatus dominance, continues to limit pathways for any sudden challenge before 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% on no coup attempt reflects this entrenched stability and the historical pattern of orderly succession within the system. Potential shifts could still arise from unforeseen leadership health events, acute economic pressures generating elite discontent, or major external crises that expose internal divisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,326Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power through institutional controls, military loyalty mechanisms, and successive leadership transitions has produced a stable political environment with minimal visible elite fractures or organized opposition. The Chinese Communist Party's centralized structure, reinforced by ongoing internal discipline processes and security apparatus dominance, continues to limit pathways for any sudden challenge before 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% on no coup attempt reflects this entrenched stability and the historical pattern of orderly succession within the system. Potential shifts could still arise from unforeseen leadership health events, acute economic pressures generating elite discontent, or major external crises that expose internal divisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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