BTS's "SWIM" commands 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of April 4, fueled by its explosive streaming debut atop global Spotify charts with massive first-day plays exceeding 12 million, bolstering sales and early multi-metric projections per the Billboard formula. Released last Friday amid fervent ARMY fan mobilization, it mirrors BTS's historical chart dominance like "Dynamite." Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" trails at 23.5%, propelled by viral TikTok momentum and surging country airplay adds, but lags in overall streams and sales. Lower contenders like Taylor Swift's tracks show negligible tracking support. Traders eye midweek updates for potential shifts before Thursday's tracking close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
SWIM - BTS 73%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 24%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 1.5%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$177,585 Vol.
$177,585 Vol.
SWIM - BTS
73%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
24%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
2%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
1%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
1%
Stateside - PinkPantheress With Zara Larsson
1%
Opalite - Taylor Swift
1%
Ordinary - Alex Warren
<1%
Golden - HUNTR/X
<1%
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
<1%
So Easy (To Fall in Love) - Olivia Dean
<1%
American Girls - Harry Styles
<1%
SWIM - BTS 73%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 24%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 1.5%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$177,585 Vol.
$177,585 Vol.
SWIM - BTS
73%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
24%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
2%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
1%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
1%
Stateside - PinkPantheress With Zara Larsson
1%
Opalite - Taylor Swift
1%
Ordinary - Alex Warren
<1%
Golden - HUNTR/X
<1%
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
<1%
So Easy (To Fall in Love) - Olivia Dean
<1%
American Girls - Harry Styles
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 4, 2026”.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...BTS's "SWIM" commands 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of April 4, fueled by its explosive streaming debut atop global Spotify charts with massive first-day plays exceeding 12 million, bolstering sales and early multi-metric projections per the Billboard formula. Released last Friday amid fervent ARMY fan mobilization, it mirrors BTS's historical chart dominance like "Dynamite." Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" trails at 23.5%, propelled by viral TikTok momentum and surging country airplay adds, but lags in overall streams and sales. Lower contenders like Taylor Swift's tracks show negligible tracking support. Traders eye midweek updates for potential shifts before Thursday's tracking close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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