Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.5% implied probability for "Yes" on over 600 US flights cancelled March 25, propelled by severe winter weather slamming the Northeast and Midwest with blizzards, high winds, and low visibility. FlightAware and FAA data confirm over 1,200 cancellations by early afternoon—far exceeding the threshold—primarily hitting Delta, United, and American Airlines at hubs like Boston, Chicago, and New York. This mirrors past storm-driven spikes, like 2023's holiday meltdowns, with no comparable disruptions elsewhere. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly rapid weather clearance and mass rescheduling before midnight, but sustained forecasts of snow and ice make such a turnaround improbable, locking in the market's overwhelming frontrunner status.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOver 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?
Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?
$5,734 Vol.
$5,734 Vol.
$5,734 Vol.
$5,734 Vol.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.5% implied probability for "Yes" on over 600 US flights cancelled March 25, propelled by severe winter weather slamming the Northeast and Midwest with blizzards, high winds, and low visibility. FlightAware and FAA data confirm over 1,200 cancellations by early afternoon—far exceeding the threshold—primarily hitting Delta, United, and American Airlines at hubs like Boston, Chicago, and New York. This mirrors past storm-driven spikes, like 2023's holiday meltdowns, with no comparable disruptions elsewhere. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly rapid weather clearance and mass rescheduling before midnight, but sustained forecasts of snow and ice make such a turnaround improbable, locking in the market's overwhelming frontrunner status.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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