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Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?

Market icon

Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$478,859 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$478,859 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.

If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$478,859
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.

If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$478,859
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clavicular será o próximo Líder Supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" has generated $478.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" is "Clavicular será o próximo Líder Supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Clavicular será o próximo líder supremo do Irã até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.