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Will North West release a new album by...?

Market icon

Will North West release a new album by...?

$13,825 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$13,825 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$9,500 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.North West, the 12-year-old daughter of Kanye West and Kim Kardashian, has intensified hype around her long-teased debut album *Elementary School Dropout* through aggressive promotional activity, including a February signing with Gamma—the same distributor for Ye's *Bully*—and her first single "PIERCING ON MY HAND." Recent previews sampling Ye's "Coldest Winter," EP visuals dropped last week, and a high-profile onstage collaboration with her father at SoFi Stadium hours ago underscore her growing production skills and live presence, amassing over 590,000 Spotify monthly listeners. However, no full-length release has materialized despite March 27 EP teasers, highlighting uncertainty tied to her youth, family dynamics, and past delays; traders should monitor for official announcements amid Ye's ongoing tour momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,825
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.North West, the 12-year-old daughter of Kanye West and Kim Kardashian, has intensified hype around her long-teased debut album *Elementary School Dropout* through aggressive promotional activity, including a February signing with Gamma—the same distributor for Ye's *Bully*—and her first single "PIERCING ON MY HAND." Recent previews sampling Ye's "Coldest Winter," EP visuals dropped last week, and a high-profile onstage collaboration with her father at SoFi Stadium hours ago underscore her growing production skills and live presence, amassing over 590,000 Spotify monthly listeners. However, no full-length release has materialized despite March 27 EP teasers, highlighting uncertainty tied to her youth, family dynamics, and past delays; traders should monitor for official announcements amid Ye's ongoing tour momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,825
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will North West release a new album by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 82%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will North West release a new album by...?" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will North West release a new album by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will North West release a new album by...?" is "December 31" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will North West release a new album by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.