Market icon

Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?

Market icon

Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$6,521 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$4,811 Vol.

8%

April 30

$1,710 Vol.

79%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not.

The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
Volume
$6,521
Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).

Trader sentiment on Olivia Rodrigo's potential new album announcement leans bearish, driven by the absence of any official confirmation despite fan-fueled rumors from her recent studio sightings and cryptic social media posts. Her GUTS world tour, running through mid-2025, prioritizes live performances over new releases, mirroring Taylor Swift's strategy of spacing albums two years apart—SOUR in 2021, GUTS in 2023. Critical acclaim for GUTS keeps streaming numbers strong, reducing urgency for a follow-up. Watch for holiday teases or early 2025 Grammys buzz, as pop cycles favor spring releases, but market-implied odds reflect historical delays in artist announcements.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 79%, followed by "March 31" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?" is "April 30" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Olivia Rodrigo vai anunciar um novo álbum do...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.