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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Market icon
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Tom Begich 30%

Treg Taylor 15.3%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$732,106 Vol.

Tom Begich 30%

Treg Taylor 15.3%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$732,106 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$94,412 Vol.

30%

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Treg Taylor

$2,678 Vol.

15%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,622 Vol.

15%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$320 Vol.

13%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,034 Vol.

10%

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Hank Kroll

$88 Vol.

7%

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David Bronson

$2,157 Vol.

4%

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James Parkin

$23,099 Vol.

3%

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Bruce Walden

$59 Vol.

3%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,205 Vol.

3%

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Mary Peltola

$319,631 Vol.

3%

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Matt Claman

$59 Vol.

3%

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Click Bishop

$2,311 Vol.

3%

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Edna DeVries

$2,347 Vol.

2%

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Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,418 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,666 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 30% implied probability due to his lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecided), $350,000 early fundraising largely from in-state donors, and recent campaigning in Southeast communities like Petersburg and Wrangell emphasizing revenue, education, and ferries. The fragmented Republican field—split among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, waste executive Bernadette Wilson (backed by Rep. Byron Donalds), ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor ($880,000 raised), and others—dilutes GOP strength in the top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, boosting Begich's advancement odds under ranked-choice voting. Consolidation via endorsements, self-funding dropouts, or fresh polls could rally Republicans, while June 1 filing deadline may reshape the crowded 16-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$732,106
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 30% implied probability due to his lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecided), $350,000 early fundraising largely from in-state donors, and recent campaigning in Southeast communities like Petersburg and Wrangell emphasizing revenue, education, and ferries. The fragmented Republican field—split among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, waste executive Bernadette Wilson (backed by Rep. Byron Donalds), ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor ($880,000 raised), and others—dilutes GOP strength in the top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, boosting Begich's advancement odds under ranked-choice voting. Consolidation via endorsements, self-funding dropouts, or fresh polls could rally Republicans, while June 1 filing deadline may reshape the crowded 16-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$732,106
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 30%, followed by "Treg Taylor" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " has generated $732.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is "Tom Begich" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Treg Taylor" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.