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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Market icon
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,200 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,200 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$93,778 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,222 Vol.

14%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$91,895 Vol.

11%

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Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

8%

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Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

11%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,143 Vol.

7%

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David Bronson

$2,133 Vol.

5%

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James Parkin

$0 Vol.

5%

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Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

5%

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Mary Peltola

$0 Vol.

3%

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Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,375 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,654 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial contest, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a 24.5% implied probability lead, driven by a February Lake Research poll showing him topping the nonpartisan primary ballot at 22% versus 14% for conservative businesswoman Bernadette Wilson and single digits for others amid 23% undecided voters. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) lag in the fragmented Republican field of over 15 candidates, where early February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for top names but no clear frontrunner. Begich benefits from Democratic consolidation and family name recognition, while GOP vote-splitting persists; endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or fresh polls could consolidate support ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.

In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial contest, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a 24.5% implied probability lead, driven by a February Lake Research poll showing him topping the nonpartisan primary ballot at 22% versus 14% for conservative businesswoman Bernadette Wilson and single digits for others amid 23% undecided voters. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) lag in the fragmented Republican field of over 15 candidates, where early February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for top names but no clear frontrunner. Begich benefits from Democratic consolidation and family name recognition, while GOP vote-splitting persists; endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or fresh polls could consolidate support ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial contest, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a 24.5% implied probability lead, driven by a February Lake Research poll showing him topping the nonpartisan primary ballot at 22% versus 14% for conservative businesswoman Bernadette Wilson and single digits for others amid 23% undecided voters. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) lag in the fragmented Republican field of over 15 candidates, where early February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for top names but no clear frontrunner. Begich benefits from Democratic consolidation and family name recognition, while GOP vote-splitting persists; endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or fresh polls could consolidate support ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.

In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial contest, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a 24.5% implied probability lead, driven by a February Lake Research poll showing him topping the nonpartisan primary ballot at 22% versus 14% for conservative businesswoman Bernadette Wilson and single digits for others amid 23% undecided voters. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) lag in the fragmented Republican field of over 15 candidates, where early February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for top names but no clear frontrunner. Begich benefits from Democratic consolidation and family name recognition, while GOP vote-splitting persists; endorsements, dropouts before the June 1 filing deadline, or fresh polls could consolidate support ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " has generated $374.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca ," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.