Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index—the 17th most GOP-friendly nationwide. Rogers qualified for reelection in January 2026, dominating his 2024 race with 98% amid no Democratic opponent, and now faces only nominal primary challenger Terri LaPoint (minimal fundraising) ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but trails Rogers' $2.4 million cash on hand. While a GOP primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national wave could shift odds, historical incumbency advantages and district math sustain the lopsided pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAL-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AL-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,800 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index—the 17th most GOP-friendly nationwide. Rogers qualified for reelection in January 2026, dominating his 2024 race with 98% amid no Democratic opponent, and now faces only nominal primary challenger Terri LaPoint (minimal fundraising) ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but trails Rogers' $2.4 million cash on hand. While a GOP primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national wave could shift odds, historical incumbency advantages and district math sustain the lopsided pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$2,800Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index—the 17th most GOP-friendly nationwide. Rogers qualified for reelection in January 2026, dominating his 2024 race with 98% amid no Democratic opponent, and now faces only nominal primary challenger Terri LaPoint (minimal fundraising) ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but trails Rogers' $2.4 million cash on hand. While a GOP primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national wave could shift odds, historical incumbency advantages and district math sustain the lopsided pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,800Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index—the 17th most GOP-friendly nationwide. Rogers qualified for reelection in January 2026, dominating his 2024 race with 98% amid no Democratic opponent, and now faces only nominal primary challenger Terri LaPoint (minimal fundraising) ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but trails Rogers' $2.4 million cash on hand. While a GOP primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national wave could shift odds, historical incumbency advantages and district math sustain the lopsided pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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