Idaho’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 96.8 percent implied probability. The district’s demographics and voting history limit Democratic competitiveness, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development could still narrow the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoID-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
ID-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$34,000 Vol.
$34,000 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
97%
Partido Democrata
3%
$34,000 Vol.
$34,000 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,177 Vol.
97%
Partido Democrata
$12,822 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 96.8 percent implied probability. The district’s demographics and voting history limit Democratic competitiveness, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development could still narrow the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$34,000Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 96.8 percent implied probability. The district’s demographics and voting history limit Democratic competitiveness, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development could still narrow the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,000Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced from a low-turnout contest. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 96.8 percent implied probability. The district’s demographics and voting history limit Democratic competitiveness, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development could still narrow the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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