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Trump Week 1 predictions & odds

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What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

27%

Hantavirus

$89.4K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$359 Liq.

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

<1%

$300K Vol.

$80.8K today

$49.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

90%

China

$2.3K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

24%

200+

$3.5K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

40%

160-179

$77.8K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

95%

May 22

$486K Vol.

$86.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

200+

$16.8K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)

77%

$25 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

63%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$103K Vol.

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What will Trump say in May?

What will Trump say in May?

59%

Epstein

$38.4K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

What animals will Trump say in May?

What animals will Trump say in May?

85%

Turkey / Turkiye

$15.5K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

21

Ends in 14 days

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

60%

$26.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

20%

May 20

$274K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

92%

Elon Musk

$11.0K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$491K today

$105K Liq.

16

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

48%

Trump Arc / Arc de Trump / Trump Arch

$3.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

13%

$38.2K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$2.7K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump Week 1.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Trump Week 1 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Trump say this week? (May 17)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump Insult Xi this week?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Week 1 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.