Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Senates·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$1M Vol.

$56.7K today

$372K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Senates·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$439K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Senates·Politics

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

3%

$49.2K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
Senates·Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

95%

$8.0K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Senates·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.1K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Senates·Politics

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

16%

$0 Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
Senates·Politics

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

39%

7

$29.0K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Senates·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

37%

$427K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senates·Politics

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

91%

0

$0 Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senates·Politics

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

39%

2

$0 Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
Senates·Politics

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

17%

2

$8.1K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Senates·Parlays

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

71%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$35.2K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Senates·Politics

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

24%

Paxton 9%+

$10.3K Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Senates·Politics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$103K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Senates·Politics

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

48%

0.6–0.9M

$46 Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?
Senates·Politics

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

98%

24-26

$31.6K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

1

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?
Senates·Politics

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

8%

↓ 40%

$130K Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Senates·Politics

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

7%

$35.3K Vol.

$55.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
Senates·Politics

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

75%

PL

$240K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
Senates·Politics

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

69%

PL

$2.0K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Senates.

Polymarket currently hosts 145 active markets for Senates that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Senates predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.