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Model predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

93%

Anthropic

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

94%

Anthropic

$169K Vol.

$62.1K today

$109K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

91%

Anthropic

$594K Vol.

$239K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

72%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$882K Liq.

62

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

70%

Anthropic

$115K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

70%

Anthropic

$91.8K Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

66%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$112K Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

11%

OpenAI

$2M Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

92%

Anthropic

$35.0K Vol.

$46.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?

42%

1510

$16.8K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

12%

$63.0K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

90%

Anthropic

$16.3K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

29%

↑ 1550

$90.1K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

77%

Anthropic

$401K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

51

Ends in about 1 month

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

8%

$10.8K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

85%

1470+

$106K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

88%

Anthropic

$9.7K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

75%

1510

$30.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

92%

Anthropic

$35.7K Vol.

$49.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

57%

1560

$7.8K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 160 active markets for Model that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Model predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.