Model predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

$4M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 days

99%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Tech·AI

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

$42.9K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

89%

November 30

$42.9K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

$354K Vol.

$673K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

89%

Anthropic

$354K Vol.

$673K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

$1M Vol.

$956K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

72%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$956K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

$26.8K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

90%

December 31

$26.8K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

$159K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

70%

OpenAI

$159K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

$109K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

89%

No release by September 30

$109K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Tech·AI

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

$16.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

73%

October 31

$16.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

$171K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

92%

1480+

$171K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

$80.9K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

72%

1500+

$80.9K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

New MAI thinking model released by...?

$489 Vol.

$328 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

18%

September 30

$489 Vol.

$328 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

$158K Vol.

$96.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

27%

Google

$158K Vol.

$96.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

$1M Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

85%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

$19.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

38%

September 29

$19.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Tech·AI

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$60.9K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

51%

October 12–October 18

$60.9K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

$9.1K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

41%

Anthropic

$9.1K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

$18.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

86%

October 31

$18.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

$13.3K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

53%

1450+

$13.3K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Tech·AI

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

$107K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

97%

Anthropic

$107K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

$64.3K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

86%

Anthropic

$64.3K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Model.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Model that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Model predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Model shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Model prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Model prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Model predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Model prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

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Model predictions & odds