The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

Waar werd Ilhan Omar mee besproeid?

$428,512 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk.

Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.
Volume
$428,512
Einddatum
Feb 28, 2026
Aangemaakt op
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk. Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.

Voorgesteld resultaat: Nee

Betwist

Voorstel resultaat

Eindgeschil

Definitief

Pas op voor externe links.

The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

Waar werd Ilhan Omar mee besproeid?

$428,512 Vol.

Polymarket

Spekvet

$52,586 Vol.

2%

Urine

$80,864 Vol.

1%

Gif/Toxine

$58,484 Vol.

1%

Pas op voor externe links.