Canada recession before 2027?
Business·Politics

Canada recession before 2027?

40%

$51.5K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Business·Tech

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

42%

$17.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Business·Esports

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

1%

$0 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Business·Finance

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

33%

0 (0 bps)

$12M Vol.

$556K today

$1M Liq.

43

Ends in 10 months

Largest Company end of March?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of March?

99%

NVIDIA

$13M Vol.

$524K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Largest Company end of June?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of June?

85%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$216K today

$369K Liq.

79

Ends in 3 months

Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Business·Elon Musk

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

89%

Elon Musk

$592K Vol.

$142K today

$274K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Business·Crypto

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

29%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$50.8K today

$20.5K Liq.

42

2nd largest company end of March?
Business·Finance

2nd largest company end of March?

61%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$193K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which banks will fail by June 30?
Business·Finance

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

JPMorgan Chase

$278K Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Business·SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

51%

Goldman Sachs

$1M Vol.

$79.1K Liq.

12

Ends in almost 2 years

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Business·Crypto

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

13%

December 31, 2026

$21M Vol.

$202K Liq.

223

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Business·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$876K Vol.

$209K Liq.

10

Ends in 10 months

IPOs before 2027?
Business·Finance

IPOs before 2027?

93%

Cerebras

$4M Vol.

$160K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

US recession by end of 2026?
Business·Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

35%

$703K Vol.

$98.4K Liq.

36

Ends in 11 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Business·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$55.9K Liq.

24

Ends in 3 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of December 2026?

68%

NVIDIA

$1M Vol.

$468K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

3rd largest company end of March?
Business·Finance

3rd largest company end of March?

62%

Apple

$732K Vol.

$93.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Business·Finance

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

33%

Tim Cook - Apple

$477K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

13

Ends in 10 months

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Business·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M Vol.

$84.5K Liq.

77

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 228 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Canada recession before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $66.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recession by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.