Canada recession before 2027?
Business·Politics

Canada recession before 2027?

40%

$51.5K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Business·Tech

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

42%

$17.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Business·Esports

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

1%

$0 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Business·Finance

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

32%

0 (0 bps)

$12M Vol.

$575K today

$993K Liq.

42

Ends in 10 months

Largest Company end of March?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of March?

99%

NVIDIA

$13M Vol.

$522K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Business·Elon Musk

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

89%

Elon Musk

$602K Vol.

$85.8K today

$278K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Largest Company end of June?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of June?

85%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$75.5K today

$369K Liq.

79

Ends in 3 months

Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Business·Crypto

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

29%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$59.3K today

$19.9K Liq.

42

2nd largest company end of March?
Business·Finance

2nd largest company end of March?

61%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$190K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Business·Crypto

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

13%

December 31, 2026

$21M Vol.

$203K Liq.

223

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Business·SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

51%

Goldman Sachs

$1M Vol.

$84.9K Liq.

12

Ends in almost 2 years

Which banks will fail by June 30?
Business·Finance

Which banks will fail by June 30?

4%

BNP Paribas

$276K Vol.

$86.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Business·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$876K Vol.

$229K Liq.

9

Ends in 10 months

US recession by end of 2026?
Business·Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

34%

$701K Vol.

$87.0K Liq.

36

Ends in 11 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Business·AI

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

39%

June 30

$725K Vol.

$91.1K Liq.

49

Ends in 3 months

IPOs before 2027?
Business·Finance

IPOs before 2027?

93%

Cerebras

$4M Vol.

$170K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

3rd largest company end of March?
Business·Finance

3rd largest company end of March?

59%

Apple

$731K Vol.

$92.3K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Business·Finance

Largest Company end of December 2026?

68%

NVIDIA

$1M Vol.

$474K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

2nd richest person on March 31?
Business·Elon Musk

2nd richest person on March 31?

96%

Larry Page

$155K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Business·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

27%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

24

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 228 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Canada recession before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $63.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Canada recession before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.