Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

44%

Kevin Warsh

$187m Vol.

$2m today

$4m Liq.

422

Ends in 12 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$3m Vol.

$158k today

$64.0k Liq.

245

Ends in 12 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

18%

December 31

$13m Vol.

$135k today

$239k Liq.

1,189

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

12%

$9m Vol.

$110k today

$1m Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

61%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$90.3k today

$45.2k Liq.

124

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

31%

Pam Bondi

$962k Vol.

$87.5k today

$108k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

26%

June 30

$957k Vol.

$21.0k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

41%

<$100b

$3m Vol.

$128k Liq.

293

Ends in about 1 month

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

88%

250-500k

$4m Vol.

$60.2k Liq.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$48.1k Vol.

$60.6k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

1%

$154k Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$517k Vol.

$25.9k Liq.

11

Ends in 12 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

13%

$300k Vol.

$37.2k Liq.

20

Ends in 12 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

82%

April 30, 2026

$902k Vol.

$29.1k Liq.

27

Ends in 3 months

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

3%

$1m Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

40

Ends in about 1 month

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

Trump Presidency

Ukraine

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

<1%

January 15

$494k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

22%

$11.9k Vol.

$4.3k Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$12.1k Liq.

116

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

81%

Donald Trump

$52.5k Vol.

$38.3k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Russia

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

13%

December 31

$926k Vol.

$32.3k Liq.

32

Ends in 12 months