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Trump Presidency polymarkets
Trump Presidency
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$78m Vol.
$2m today
$2m Liq.
244
Ends in about 1 year
61%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$10m Vol.
$251k today
$255k Liq.
87
Ends in 8 days
97%
No announcement by December 31
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?
$2m Vol.
$242k today
$93.1k Liq.
425
100%
Barack Obama
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$189k today
$296k Liq.
David Friedberg
90%
0
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next?
$13m Vol.
$110k today
$475k Liq.
99%
No meeting by December 31
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
$89.7k today
$80.9k Liq.
207
Ends in 2 months
38%
$100–200b
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$3m Vol.
$89.1k today
$88.1k Liq.
85
Ends in 3 months
14%
March 31, 2026
Who will Trump pardon in 2025?
$11m Vol.
$66.7k today
$216k Liq.
297
2%
Joe Exotic
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$5m Vol.
$388k Liq.
20,361
21%
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$443k Vol.
$63.6k Liq.
Kristi Noem
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$52.5k Liq.
167
1%
5.2%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
$575k Vol.
$40.4k Liq.
28
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$706k Vol.
$12.4k Liq.
32
12%
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$13.9k Liq.
44
27%
March 31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
$1m Vol.
$68.3k Liq.
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$624k Vol.
$52.2k Liq.
1
Trump approval rating on December 31?
$399k Vol.
$45.0k Liq.
48
Ends in 9 days
50%
40.0–41.9%
Trump out as President in 2025?
$4m Vol.
$46.6k Liq.
98
<1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$323k Vol.
$11.4k Liq.
20
96%
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$80.3k Liq.
87%
250-500k
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