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World·Bolivia Elections

Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
World·Bolivia Elections

Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)

Manuel Saavedra 100.0%

Angélica Sosa <1%

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine <1%

Vicente Cuéllar <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Manuel Saavedra 100.0%

Angélica Sosa <1%

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine <1%

Vicente Cuéllar <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

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Angélica Sosa

$0 Vol.

No

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Manuel Saavedra

$0 Vol.

Yes

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Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine

$0 Vol.

No

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Vicente Cuéllar

$0 Vol.

No

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José Gary Áñez

$0 Vol.

No

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Jhonny Fernández

$0 Vol.

No

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Soo Hyun Chung

$0 Vol.

No

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Oscar Vargas

$0 Vol.

No

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Luciano Negrete

$0 Vol.

No

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Félix Oros

$0 Vol.

No

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Alfredo Solares

$0 Vol.

No

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Manuel Saavedra at virtually certain victory in Bolivia's Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election, driven by official results from the Plurinational Electoral Organ confirming his landslide win with over 50% of votes for the Creemos Party candidate. Pre-election polling consistently showed Saavedra's dominance amid strong regional support in Bolivia's wealthiest department, bolstered by effective campaigning and limited opposition cohesion among rivals like Angélica Sosa (MAS) and Vicente Cuéllar. Recent final tallies have locked in this outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on settled electoral reality. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or judicial disputes, remain improbable absent fraud allegations gaining traction, with no major developments signaling shifts.

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Manuel Saavedra at virtually certain victory in Bolivia's Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election, driven by official results from the Plurinational Electoral Organ confirming his landslide win with over 50% of votes for the Creemos Party candidate. Pre-election polling consistently showed Saavedra's dominance amid strong regional support in Bolivia's wealthiest department, bolstered by effective campaigning and limited opposition cohesion among rivals like Angélica Sosa (MAS) and Vicente Cuéllar. Recent final tallies have locked in this outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on settled electoral reality. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or judicial disputes, remain improbable absent fraud allegations gaining traction, with no major developments signaling shifts.

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manuel Saavedra" at 100%, followed by "Angélica Sosa" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Manuel Saavedra" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angélica Sosa" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Santa Cruz de la Sierra Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.