Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a flawless 24-point league phase and composed 3-1 aggregate knockout over Bayer Leverkusen, earning a quarter-final against Sporting CP who needed extra time to dispatch Bodø/Glimt. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a ruthless 10-2 rout of Atalanta, yet faces blockbuster Real Madrid (10.5%) in the last eight. Barcelona (16.5%) advanced past Newcastle, PSG (12.5%) demolished Chelsea 8-2 aggregate, and Liverpool (7.5%) edged Galatasaray, but Spanish derby Barcelona-Atletico and PSG-Liverpool clashes create a gauntlet of high-stakes matchups keeping the top outcomes tightly bunched amid knockout unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,096,720 Vol.
$221,096,720 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,096,720 Vol.
$221,096,720 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after a flawless 24-point league phase and composed 3-1 aggregate knockout over Bayer Leverkusen, earning a quarter-final against Sporting CP who needed extra time to dispatch Bodø/Glimt. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a ruthless 10-2 rout of Atalanta, yet faces blockbuster Real Madrid (10.5%) in the last eight. Barcelona (16.5%) advanced past Newcastle, PSG (12.5%) demolished Chelsea 8-2 aggregate, and Liverpool (7.5%) edged Galatasaray, but Spanish derby Barcelona-Atletico and PSG-Liverpool clashes create a gauntlet of high-stakes matchups keeping the top outcomes tightly bunched amid knockout unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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