Market icon

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Market icon

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$156,334 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$156,334 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Phil Murphy

$2,108 Vol.

89%

Market icon

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$37,095 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$17,523 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$3,679 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$10,049 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$0 Vol.

15%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$10,016 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$0 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$1,522 Vol.

14%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$3,906 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$2,943 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$4,526 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

John Thune

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$5,049 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$11,797 Vol.

10%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$2,069 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$3,360 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$4,452 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$2,268 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,302 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$2,951 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$8,634 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$5,467 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$3,619 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

MrBeast

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,334
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Phil Murphy" at 89%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" has generated $156.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is "Phil Murphy" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.