Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$177,264 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Gavin Newsom
$13,968 Vol.
26%

Gretchen Whitmer
$85 Vol.
16%

Steve Bannon
$3,289 Vol.
26%

Liz Cheney
$30 Vol.
20%

Candace Owens
$207 Vol.
18%

J.D. Vance
$5,784 Vol.
16%

Andy Beshear
$1,104 Vol.
16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$10,696 Vol.
13%

Ted Cruz
$9,668 Vol.
13%

Stephen A. Smith
$5,352 Vol.
13%

Marco Rubio
$1,372 Vol.
13%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
$12,132 Vol.
13%

Jared Polis
$2,229 Vol.
13%

Ron DeSantis
$20 Vol.
12%

Mark Kelly
$332 Vol.
12%

Donald Trump Jr.
$1,837 Vol.
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$1,749 Vol.
12%

Kamala Harris
$3,584 Vol.
12%

Elise Stefanik
$1,018 Vol.
11%

Rand Paul
$7,980 Vol.
11%

Wes Moore
$4,241 Vol.
11%

Raphael Warnock
$134 Vol.
11%

Nikki Haley
$355 Vol.
11%

Josh Shapiro
$2,977 Vol.
10%

Byron Donalds
$2,745 Vol.
10%

Jon Ossoff
$330 Vol.
10%

Greg Abbott
$339 Vol.
10%

Pete Buttigieg
$2,330 Vol.
10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$2,302 Vol.
10%

J.B. Pritzker
$1,810 Vol.
9%

Vivek Ramaswamy
$5,020 Vol.
9%

Tom Brady
$80 Vol.
9%

Donald Trump
$1,568 Vol.
9%

Josh Hawley
$2,421 Vol.
8%

Tucker Carlson
$140 Vol.
8%

Matt Gaetz
$1,476 Vol.
8%

Tulsi Gabbard
$487 Vol.
8%

John Thune
$177 Vol.
8%

Jon Stewart
$152 Vol.
8%

Roy Cooper
$1,548 Vol.
8%

Mark Cuban
$123 Vol.
8%

Brian Kemp
$20 Vol.
8%

John Fetterman
$700 Vol.
8%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$516 Vol.
7%

Bernie Sanders
$836 Vol.
7%

George Clooney
$340 Vol.
7%

MrBeast
$1,420 Vol.
7%

Glenn Youngkin
$4,273 Vol.
7%

Rahm Emanuel
$3,319 Vol.
6%

Chelsea Clinton
$1,108 Vol.
6%

Oprah Winfrey
$715 Vol.
6%

Ivanka Trump
$1,467 Vol.
6%

Hillary Clinton
$1,119 Vol.
6%

Katie Britt
$4,851 Vol.
6%

Kim Kardashian
$1,344 Vol.
6%

Tim Walz
$1,615 Vol.
5%

Zohran Mamdani
$8,628 Vol.
5%

Hunter Biden
$3,516 Vol.
5%

Andrew Yang
$1,250 Vol.
5%

Beto O’Rourke
$546 Vol.
5%

Barack Obama
$1,146 Vol.
5%

Kristi Noem
$2,606 Vol.
5%

Elon Musk
$1,224 Vol.
5%

Gina Raimondo
$3,161 Vol.
4%

Michelle Obama
$1,375 Vol.
4%

Erika Kirk
$1,646 Vol.
4%

Cory Booker
$8,020 Vol.
4%

Phil Murphy
$1,590 Vol.
3%

LeBron James
$5,042 Vol.
3%

Mike Pence
$680 Vol.
2%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Volume

$177,264

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$177,264 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Gavin Newsom

$13,968 Vol.

26%

Gretchen Whitmer

$85 Vol.

16%

Steve Bannon

$3,289 Vol.

26%

Liz Cheney

$30 Vol.

20%

Candace Owens

$207 Vol.

18%

J.D. Vance

$5,784 Vol.

16%

Andy Beshear

$1,104 Vol.

16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,696 Vol.

13%

Ted Cruz

$9,668 Vol.

13%

Stephen A. Smith

$5,352 Vol.

13%

Marco Rubio

$1,372 Vol.

13%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$12,132 Vol.

13%

Jared Polis

$2,229 Vol.

13%

Ron DeSantis

$20 Vol.

12%

Mark Kelly

$332 Vol.

12%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,837 Vol.

12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$1,749 Vol.

12%

Kamala Harris

$3,584 Vol.

12%

Elise Stefanik

$1,018 Vol.

11%

Rand Paul

$7,980 Vol.

11%

Wes Moore

$4,241 Vol.

11%

Raphael Warnock

$134 Vol.

11%

Nikki Haley

$355 Vol.

11%

Josh Shapiro

$2,977 Vol.

10%

Byron Donalds

$2,745 Vol.

10%

Jon Ossoff

$330 Vol.

10%

Greg Abbott

$339 Vol.

10%

Pete Buttigieg

$2,330 Vol.

10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$2,302 Vol.

10%

J.B. Pritzker

$1,810 Vol.

Vivek Ramaswamy

$5,020 Vol.

Tom Brady

$80 Vol.

Donald Trump

$1,568 Vol.

Josh Hawley

$2,421 Vol.

Tucker Carlson

$140 Vol.

Matt Gaetz

$1,476 Vol.

Tulsi Gabbard

$487 Vol.

John Thune

$177 Vol.

Jon Stewart

$152 Vol.

Roy Cooper

$1,548 Vol.

Mark Cuban

$123 Vol.

Brian Kemp

$20 Vol.

John Fetterman

$700 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$516 Vol.

Bernie Sanders

$836 Vol.

George Clooney

$340 Vol.

MrBeast

$1,420 Vol.

Glenn Youngkin

$4,273 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel

$3,319 Vol.

Chelsea Clinton

$1,108 Vol.

Oprah Winfrey

$715 Vol.

Ivanka Trump

$1,467 Vol.

Hillary Clinton

$1,119 Vol.

Katie Britt

$4,851 Vol.

Kim Kardashian

$1,344 Vol.

Tim Walz

$1,615 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$8,628 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$3,516 Vol.

Andrew Yang

$1,250 Vol.

Beto O’Rourke

$546 Vol.

Barack Obama

$1,146 Vol.

Kristi Noem

$2,606 Vol.

Elon Musk

$1,224 Vol.

Gina Raimondo

$3,161 Vol.

Michelle Obama

$1,375 Vol.

Erika Kirk

$1,646 Vol.

Cory Booker

$8,020 Vol.

Phil Murphy

$1,590 Vol.

LeBron James

$5,042 Vol.

Mike Pence

$680 Vol.

About

Volume

$177,264

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

14%

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

25%

Beware of external links.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Gavin Newsom$13,968 Vol.26%buy Yes28¢buy No76¢

Gretchen Whitmer$85 Vol.16%buy Yes23¢buy No91¢

Steve Bannon$3,289 Vol.26%buy Yes34¢buy No82¢

Liz Cheney$30 Vol.20%buy Yes34¢buy No95¢

Candace Owens$207 Vol.18%buy Yes32.9¢buy No97.8¢

J.D. Vance$5,784 Vol.16%buy Yes17¢buy No85¢

Andy Beshear$1,104 Vol.16%buy Yes19¢buy No88¢

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$10,696 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No88¢

Ted Cruz$9,668 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No88¢

Stephen A. Smith$5,352 Vol.13%buy Yes13¢buy No88¢

Marco Rubio$1,372 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No89¢

Marjorie Taylor Greene$12,132 Vol.13%buy Yes13¢buy No88¢

Jared Polis$2,229 Vol.13%buy Yes13¢buy No88¢

Ron DeSantis$20 Vol.12%buy Yes13¢buy No89¢

Mark Kelly$332 Vol.12%buy Yes13¢buy No90¢

Donald Trump Jr.$1,837 Vol.12%buy Yes13¢buy No90¢

Sarah Huckabee Sanders$1,749 Vol.12%buy Yes12¢buy No89¢

Kamala Harris$3,584 Vol.12%buy Yes12¢buy No89¢

Elise Stefanik$1,018 Vol.11%buy Yes12¢buy No90¢

Rand Paul$7,980 Vol.11%buy Yes11¢buy No90¢

Wes Moore$4,241 Vol.11%buy Yes11¢buy No90¢

Raphael Warnock$134 Vol.11%buy Yes11¢buy No90¢

Nikki Haley$355 Vol.11%buy Yes11¢buy No90¢

Josh Shapiro$2,977 Vol.10%buy Yes11¢buy No91¢

Byron Donalds$2,745 Vol.10%buy Yes11¢buy No91¢

Jon Ossoff$330 Vol.10%buy Yes10¢buy No91¢

Greg Abbott$339 Vol.10%buy Yes10¢buy No91¢

Pete Buttigieg$2,330 Vol.10%buy Yes10¢buy No91¢

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$2,302 Vol.10%buy Yes11¢buy No92¢

J.B. Pritzker$1,810 Vol.9%buy Yes10¢buy No92¢

Vivek Ramaswamy$5,020 Vol.9%buy Yes10¢buy No92¢

Tom Brady$80 Vol.9%buy Yes10¢buy No93¢

Donald Trump$1,568 Vol.9%buy Yes9¢buy No92¢

Josh Hawley$2,421 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Tucker Carlson$140 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Matt Gaetz$1,476 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Tulsi Gabbard$487 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

John Thune$177 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Jon Stewart$152 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Roy Cooper$1,548 Vol.8%buy Yes8¢buy No93¢

Mark Cuban$123 Vol.8%buy Yes8¢buy No93¢

Brian Kemp$20 Vol.8%buy Yes8¢buy No93¢

John Fetterman$700 Vol.8%buy Yes9¢buy No94¢

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$516 Vol.7%buy Yes8¢buy No94¢

Bernie Sanders$836 Vol.7%buy Yes8¢buy No94¢

George Clooney$340 Vol.7%buy Yes8¢buy No94¢

MrBeast$1,420 Vol.7%buy Yes7¢buy No94¢

Glenn Youngkin$4,273 Vol.7%buy Yes8¢buy No95¢

Rahm Emanuel$3,319 Vol.6%buy Yes7¢buy No95¢

Chelsea Clinton$1,108 Vol.6%buy Yes7¢buy No95¢

Oprah Winfrey$715 Vol.6%buy Yes7¢buy No95¢

Ivanka Trump$1,467 Vol.6%buy Yes7¢buy No95¢

Hillary Clinton$1,119 Vol.6%buy Yes6¢buy No95¢

Katie Britt$4,851 Vol.6%buy Yes6¢buy No95¢

Kim Kardashian$1,344 Vol.6%buy Yes6¢buy No95¢

Tim Walz$1,615 Vol.5%buy Yes6¢buy No96¢

Zohran Mamdani$8,628 Vol.5%buy Yes5.4¢buy No95.4¢

Hunter Biden$3,516 Vol.5%buy Yes5.0¢buy No95.3¢

Andrew Yang$1,250 Vol.5%buy Yes6.0¢buy No96.7¢

Beto O’Rourke$546 Vol.5%buy Yes6.8¢buy No97.7¢

Barack Obama$1,146 Vol.5%buy Yes5.0¢buy No95.9¢

Kristi Noem$2,606 Vol.5%buy Yes4.7¢buy No95.6¢

Elon Musk$1,224 Vol.5%buy Yes5¢buy No96¢

Gina Raimondo$3,161 Vol.4%buy Yes5.9¢buy No97.2¢

Michelle Obama$1,375 Vol.4%buy Yes5.0¢buy No96.4¢

Erika Kirk$1,646 Vol.4%buy Yes4.6¢buy No96.0¢

Cory Booker$8,020 Vol.4%buy Yes4.2¢buy No96.6¢

Phil Murphy$1,590 Vol.3%buy Yes4.0¢buy No97.6¢

LeBron James$5,042 Vol.3%buy Yes4.0¢buy No98.4¢

Mike Pence$680 Vol.2%buy Yes2.7¢buy No97.9¢

Market Context