Recent INSA polling published March 25 reinforces trader consensus favoring CDU for second place in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, with AfD leading at 38%, CDU at 25%, and Die Linke distant third at 13%; SPD and BSW hover near the 5% threshold at 6% and 5%. This gap reflects AfD's sustained dominance in eastern Germany amid stable Sonntagsfragen trends since January, where CDU holds steady despite incumbent Premier Sven Schulze's recent leadership transition from Rainer Haseloff. Minor declines for both leaders underscore low upset risk, though five months remain for shifts from campaign dynamics or national trends; AfD's slim 9% odds for second imply traders see scant path for CDU to overtake first.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCDU 86%
AfD 9%
FDP 2.2%
BSW 1.3%
$38,330 Vol.
$38,330 Vol.

CDU
86%

AfD
9%

FDP
2%

BSW
1%

SPD
1%

The Greens
1%

The Left
1%
CDU 86%
AfD 9%
FDP 2.2%
BSW 1.3%
$38,330 Vol.
$38,330 Vol.

CDU
86%

AfD
9%

FDP
2%

BSW
1%

SPD
1%

The Greens
1%

The Left
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent INSA polling published March 25 reinforces trader consensus favoring CDU for second place in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, with AfD leading at 38%, CDU at 25%, and Die Linke distant third at 13%; SPD and BSW hover near the 5% threshold at 6% and 5%. This gap reflects AfD's sustained dominance in eastern Germany amid stable Sonntagsfragen trends since January, where CDU holds steady despite incumbent Premier Sven Schulze's recent leadership transition from Rainer Haseloff. Minor declines for both leaders underscore low upset risk, though five months remain for shifts from campaign dynamics or national trends; AfD's slim 9% odds for second imply traders see scant path for CDU to overtake first.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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