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Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

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Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 37%

Ilia Topuria 32%

Merab Dvalishvili 2.6%

Alexander Volkanovski 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Islam Makhachev 37%

Ilia Topuria 32%

Merab Dvalishvili 2.6%

Alexander Volkanovski 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Islam Makhachev

$773 Vol.

49%

Ilia Topuria

$0 Vol.

32%

Merab Dvalishvili

$0 Vol.

3%

Alexander Volkanovski

$0 Vol.

3%

Magomed Ankalaev

$0 Vol.

2%

Tom Aspinall

$626 Vol.

1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$335 Vol.

1%

Joshua Van

$534 Vol.

1%

Alex Pereira

$0 Vol.

21%

Petr Yan

$0 Vol.

1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$0 Vol.

9%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

15%

Alexandre Pantoja

$0 Vol.

26%

Khamzat Chimaev

$0 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability as the current UFC pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in a welterweight title bid at UFC 322 last November and sustained elite resume despite an announced August return. Ilia Topuria sits at 32.5% following his lightweight championship reign, though a Q1 hiatus for personal matters tempers short-term momentum ahead of a potential spring comeback against Justin Gaethje. Khamzat Chimaev's 29.6% reflects his undefeated ascent to middleweight champion status, with post-Ramadan activity eyed in Q2; Della Maddalena's 27.1% stems from welterweight #1 ranking and resilience versus Makhachev, while Alexandre Pantoja's 26.6% highlights flyweight title defenses like his December KO of Joshua Van. Recent March 25 rankings post-UFC London affirm the top trio's positioning amid a crowded contender field.

Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability as the current UFC pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in a welterweight title bid at UFC 322 last November and sustained elite resume despite an announced August return. Ilia Topuria sits at 32.5% following his lightweight championship reign, though a Q1 hiatus for personal matters tempers short-term momentum ahead of a potential spring comeback against Justin Gaethje. Khamzat Chimaev's 29.6% reflects his undefeated ascent to middleweight champion status, with post-Ramadan activity eyed in Q2; Della Maddalena's 27.1% stems from welterweight #1 ranking and resilience versus Makhachev, while Alexandre Pantoja's 26.6% highlights flyweight title defenses like his December KO of Joshua Van. Recent March 25 rankings post-UFC London affirm the top trio's positioning amid a crowded contender field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability as the current UFC pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in a welterweight title bid at UFC 322 last November and sustained elite resume despite an announced August return. Ilia Topuria sits at 32.5% following his lightweight championship reign, though a Q1 hiatus for personal matters tempers short-term momentum ahead of a potential spring comeback against Justin Gaethje. Khamzat Chimaev's 29.6% reflects his undefeated ascent to middleweight champion status, with post-Ramadan activity eyed in Q2; Della Maddalena's 27.1% stems from welterweight #1 ranking and resilience versus Makhachev, while Alexandre Pantoja's 26.6% highlights flyweight title defenses like his December KO of Joshua Van. Recent March 25 rankings post-UFC London affirm the top trio's positioning amid a crowded contender field.

Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability as the current UFC pound-for-pound #1, bolstered by his dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in a welterweight title bid at UFC 322 last November and sustained elite resume despite an announced August return. Ilia Topuria sits at 32.5% following his lightweight championship reign, though a Q1 hiatus for personal matters tempers short-term momentum ahead of a potential spring comeback against Justin Gaethje. Khamzat Chimaev's 29.6% reflects his undefeated ascent to middleweight champion status, with post-Ramadan activity eyed in Q2; Della Maddalena's 27.1% stems from welterweight #1 ranking and resilience versus Makhachev, while Alexandre Pantoja's 26.6% highlights flyweight title defenses like his December KO of Joshua Van. Recent March 25 rankings post-UFC London affirm the top trio's positioning amid a crowded contender field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Islam Makhachev" at 49%, followed by "Ilia Topuria" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is "Islam Makhachev" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.