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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,459,372 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,459,372 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$800,677 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$229,336 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$443,209 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$190,734 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$366,907 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,412,492 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,369,119 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,757,708 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$398,278 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$267,348 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$304,862 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$400,951 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,810,723 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$325,906 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$214,521 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$198,016 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$309,743 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$822,772 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,993,864 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,626,023 Vol.

1%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,060,520 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$295,247 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$697,740 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$233,709 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$163,642 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,624,992 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$226,951 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,271,012 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$203,886 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,767,759 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$241,368 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$154,362 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$145,757 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$138,306 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$162,614 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$220,802 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$287,697 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$442,618 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$153,944 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$336,266 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$283,284 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$629,287 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$314,278 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$291,832 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$507,723 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$389,483 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$474,639 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,137 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$250,294 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$383,006 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,142 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$821,539 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$458,859 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$846,136 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$650,506 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$267,381 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$654,768 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$843,346 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$427,850 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Scottie Scheffler at 15.5% implied probability to win the Masters at Augusta National, driven by his two prior victories (2022, 2024), eight straight top-10s there, and elite ball-striking that excels on the demanding layout despite a mild early-2026 form dip resolved with steady cuts made. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely, buoyed by LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's power on par-5s and Rahm's 2023 green jacket—while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% amid a recent injury scare and Augusta putting woes. The wide-open field reflects no pre-Masters dominator after Gary Woodland's emotional Houston Open win, emphasizing course history, approach play around Amen Corner, and short-game precision as key differentiators among leaders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,459,372
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Scottie Scheffler at 15.5% implied probability to win the Masters at Augusta National, driven by his two prior victories (2022, 2024), eight straight top-10s there, and elite ball-striking that excels on the demanding layout despite a mild early-2026 form dip resolved with steady cuts made. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely, buoyed by LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's power on par-5s and Rahm's 2023 green jacket—while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% amid a recent injury scare and Augusta putting woes. The wide-open field reflects no pre-Masters dominator after Gary Woodland's emotional Houston Open win, emphasizing course history, approach play around Amen Corner, and short-game precision as key differentiators among leaders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,459,372
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $62.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.