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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Robert MacIntyre 10.6%

Ludvig Aberg 9.3%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.3%

Maverick McNealy 7.4%

Polymarket

$243,742 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre 10.6%

Ludvig Aberg 9.3%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.3%

Maverick McNealy 7.4%

Polymarket

$243,742 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre

$582 Vol.

11%

Ludvig Aberg

$8,062 Vol.

9%

Tommy Fleetwood

$2,243 Vol.

8%

Maverick McNealy

$1,048 Vol.

7%

Michael Kim

$1,355 Vol.

6%

J.J. Spaun

$240 Vol.

4%

Tony Finau

$927 Vol.

3%

Jordan L. Smith

$1,272 Vol.

3%

Ryo Hisatsune

$1,320 Vol.

2%

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

2%

Denny McCarthy

$34,933 Vol.

2%

Marco Penge

$750 Vol.

2%

Billy Horschel

$172 Vol.

2%

Andrew Putnam

$10 Vol.

2%

Steven Fisk

$10 Vol.

2%

Si Woo Kim

$46,059 Vol.

2%

Hideki Matsuyama

$899 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$2,724 Vol.

1%

Eric Cole

$230 Vol.

1%

John Parry

$15 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$2,504 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$1,454 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$5,195 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$45 Vol.

26%

Keith Mitchell

$7,452 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$110 Vol.

25%

Daniel Brown

$25 Vol.

1%

A.J. Ewart

$40 Vol.

1%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$13,843 Vol.

1%

JT Poston

$13 Vol.

25%

Rickie Fowler

$224 Vol.

1%

Henry Lebioda

$25 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$360 Vol.

1%

Beau Hossler

$40 Vol.

1%

Austin Eckroat

$10 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$28 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$213 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$410 Vol.

1%

Nick Dunlap

$40 Vol.

1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$35 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$1,063 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$10 Vol.

1%

David Ford

$66 Vol.

1%

Kevin Roy

$10 Vol.

1%

Christo Lamprecht

$10 Vol.

1%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Stephan Jaeger

$405 Vol.

1%

Pontus Nyholm

$148 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$10 Vol.

1%

Adam Schenk

$10 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$1,310 Vol.

1%

Doug Ghim

$10 Vol.

1%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$77 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$320 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Fishburn

$135 Vol.

<1%

Takumi Kanaya

$35 Vol.

<1%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$1,275 Vol.

<1%

Johnny Keefer

$35,255 Vol.

<1%

Mac Meissner

$55 Vol.

<1%

Peter Malnati

$10 Vol.

<1%

Chandler Blanchet

$215 Vol.

<1%

Chad Ramey

$10 Vol.

<1%

Adrien Saddier

$10 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$10 Vol.

<1%

Brandt Snedeker

$10 Vol.

<1%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$10 Vol.

<1%

Emiliano Grillo

$25 Vol.

<1%

Garrick Higgo

$10 Vol.

<1%

Lee Hodges

$40 Vol.

<1%

Charley Hoffman

$559 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hoge

$208 Vol.

<1%

Jeffrey Kang

$10 Vol.

<1%

Patton Kizzire

$167 Vol.

<1%

Joe Highsmith

$167 Vol.

<1%

Kensei Hirata

$185 Vol.

<1%

Mackenzie Hughes

$15 Vol.

<1%

William Mouw

$1,498 Vol.

<1%

Matthieu Pavon

$148 Vol.

<1%

Seamus Power

$10 Vol.

<1%

Ricky Castillo

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

David Lipsky

$1,661 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Campos

$1,008 Vol.

<1%

Marcelo Rozo

$862 Vol.

<1%

Webb Simpson

$1,942 Vol.

<1%

Lucas Glover

$1,098 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$1,106 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$35 Vol.

25%

Chandler Phillips

$1,010 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$1,231 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$1,037 Vol.

<1%

Mark Hubbard

$182 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Berger

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Rodgers

$2,567 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$1,967 Vol.

<1%

Pierceson Coody

$2,504 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$37,075 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$2,838 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Entering the second round of the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio's demanding Oaks Course, trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 25% for sponsor exemptions and mid-tier contenders Zach Bauchou, Matt McCarty, Max McGreevy, J.T. Poston, Ricky Castillo, A.J. Ewart, and David Lipsky, signaling a wide-open race after Round 1's bunched leaderboard. Bauchou fired a 68 (-4) to tie for 11th, buoyed by strong ball-striking amid windy conditions that punished errant approaches, while others like Poston (even par) and McGreevy (-1) lurk with solid strokes gained putting. Pre-tournament favorites Ludvig Aberg (-4, T11) and Tommy Fleetwood (-5, T4) trail in pricing due to inconsistent approach play, underscoring the field's volatility and value in dark horses with Oaks Course affinity before Masters week.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$243,742
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Entering the second round of the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio's demanding Oaks Course, trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 25% for sponsor exemptions and mid-tier contenders Zach Bauchou, Matt McCarty, Max McGreevy, J.T. Poston, Ricky Castillo, A.J. Ewart, and David Lipsky, signaling a wide-open race after Round 1's bunched leaderboard. Bauchou fired a 68 (-4) to tie for 11th, buoyed by strong ball-striking amid windy conditions that punished errant approaches, while others like Poston (even par) and McGreevy (-1) lurk with solid strokes gained putting. Pre-tournament favorites Ludvig Aberg (-4, T11) and Tommy Fleetwood (-5, T4) trail in pricing due to inconsistent approach play, underscoring the field's volatility and value in dark horses with Oaks Course affinity before Masters week.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$243,742
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

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Will Nick Dunlap finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

50%
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Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

51%
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Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

71%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Max McGreevy" at 26%, followed by "Zach Bauchou" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" has generated $243.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "Max McGreevy" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zach Bauchou" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.