Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.7% implied probability due to the absence of a new MrBeast video upload positioned to hit 100 million views within its first seven days by March 31, with his most recent major release—"I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica"—posted February 17 already past its initial week and topping out below the threshold at around 85 million. MrBeast's irregular schedule, typically every 2-4 weeks, leaves scant time for a last-minute drop to rack up viral views amid YouTube's algorithm favoring sustained engagement over instant spikes. Historical precedents show his biggest hits like "Beast Games" teasers exceed 100 million quickly, but no such catalyst has emerged. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced upload today exploding via cross-platform hype, though algorithmic delays and competition from TikTok trends make it a long shot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
$98,350 Vol.
$98,350 Vol.
$98,350 Vol.
$98,350 Vol.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.7% implied probability due to the absence of a new MrBeast video upload positioned to hit 100 million views within its first seven days by March 31, with his most recent major release—"I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica"—posted February 17 already past its initial week and topping out below the threshold at around 85 million. MrBeast's irregular schedule, typically every 2-4 weeks, leaves scant time for a last-minute drop to rack up viral views amid YouTube's algorithm favoring sustained engagement over instant spikes. Historical precedents show his biggest hits like "Beast Games" teasers exceed 100 million quickly, but no such catalyst has emerged. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced upload today exploding via cross-platform hype, though algorithmic delays and competition from TikTok trends make it a long shot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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