$57,285 Vol.
$57,285 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
생성일: Jun 24, 2025, 10:33 PM ET
볼륨
$57,285종료일
Jun 30, 2025생성일
Jun 24, 2025, 10:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
$57,285 Vol.
$57,285 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
볼륨
$57,285종료일
Jun 30, 2025생성일
Jun 24, 2025, 10:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump trade deal before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump trade deal before July?" has generated $57.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump trade deal before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Trump trade deal before July?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Trump trade deal before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
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Frequently Asked Questions