Zelenskyy’s consistent high-volume X posting during the Russia-Ukraine war, averaging 60-80 posts per week in recent months, drives trader consensus toward the 60-79 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his routine of daily video addresses, partner thanks, and frontline updates. This pattern held steady through late 2024, with weeks like December 2024 logging 68 posts amid aid negotiations and holiday messages. Lower volumes in 40-59 (15.5%) account for occasional lulls during diplomatic trips, while 80-99 (17%) captures intensified periods like major offensives. Absent major war resolutions or policy shifts by 2026, traders anticipate continuity, though uncertainty around conflict evolution tempers extremes like 200+ at 2.4%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日60〜79 37%
80～99 18%
40～59 16%
20～39 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
＜20
2%
20～39
12%
40～59
16%
60〜79
37%
80～99
15%
100〜119
13%
120〜139
5%
140〜159
5%
160〜179
4%
180〜199
4%
200以上
2%
60〜79 37%
80～99 18%
40～59 16%
20～39 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
＜20
$2,044 Vol.
2%
20～39
$365 Vol.
12%
40～59
$329 Vol.
16%
60〜79
$257 Vol.
37%
80～99
$299 Vol.
15%
100〜119
$311 Vol.
13%
120〜139
$237 Vol.
5%
140〜159
$661 Vol.
5%
160〜179
$541 Vol.
4%
180〜199
$245 Vol.
4%
200以上
$311 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$5,602終了日
Mar 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,602終了日
Mar 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zelenskyy’s consistent high-volume X posting during the Russia-Ukraine war, averaging 60-80 posts per week in recent months, drives trader consensus toward the 60-79 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his routine of daily video addresses, partner thanks, and frontline updates. This pattern held steady through late 2024, with weeks like December 2024 logging 68 posts amid aid negotiations and holiday messages. Lower volumes in 40-59 (15.5%) account for occasional lulls during diplomatic trips, while 80-99 (17%) captures intensified periods like major offensives. Absent major war resolutions or policy shifts by 2026, traders anticipate continuity, though uncertainty around conflict evolution tempers extremes like 200+ at 2.4%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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