Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability for Donald Trump visiting Greenland by March 31, driven by the complete absence of any official announcements, scheduled diplomatic trips, or reported plans from the president-elect's transition team amid a packed post-inauguration agenda focused on domestic priorities like cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Renewed post-election speculation about U.S. Arctic strategy and Greenland acquisition interests echoes 2019 overtures—firmly rebuffed by Denmark and Greenland officials—but has centered on negotiations rather than a personal presidential visit, with no escalation into travel logistics. Logistical hurdles, including Greenland's remote location and Danish sovereignty, further dampen prospects. Realistic shifts could stem from an unexpected bilateral summit invitation or abrupt foreign policy pivot, though such late-breaking developments remain highly improbable within the tight resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$213,447 Vol.
$213,447 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$213,447 Vol.
$213,447 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
音量
$213,447終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$213,547終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% implied probability for Donald Trump visiting Greenland by March 31, driven by the complete absence of any official announcements, scheduled diplomatic trips, or reported plans from the president-elect's transition team amid a packed post-inauguration agenda focused on domestic priorities like cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Renewed post-election speculation about U.S. Arctic strategy and Greenland acquisition interests echoes 2019 overtures—firmly rebuffed by Denmark and Greenland officials—but has centered on negotiations rather than a personal presidential visit, with no escalation into travel logistics. Logistical hurdles, including Greenland's remote location and Danish sovereignty, further dampen prospects. Realistic shifts could stem from an unexpected bilateral summit invitation or abrupt foreign policy pivot, though such late-breaking developments remain highly improbable within the tight resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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