Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) pricing above key resistance levels by March 31 reflects a 45% implied probability on Polymarket, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries amid China's stimulus measures, offsetting a strengthening U.S. dollar. Spot silver trades at $23.45/oz, up 5% weekly on gold's safe-haven rally, but faces headwinds from elevated Fed funds rates holding real yields positive at 1.8%. Key catalysts include February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC March 19-20, where softer inflation could boost odds past 60% if silver breaks $24.50. Historical precedent shows 70% success rate for similar rallies pre-summer demand season, though recession fears cap upside.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$944,836 Vol.
↑ 200ドル
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ 130ドル
1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
75%
↓ 60ドル
40%
↓ $50
9%
↓ 40ドル
3%
↓ 25ドル
1%
$944,836 Vol.
↑ 200ドル
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ 130ドル
1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
75%
↓ 60ドル
40%
↓ $50
9%
↓ 40ドル
3%
↓ 25ドル
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) pricing above key resistance levels by March 31 reflects a 45% implied probability on Polymarket, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries amid China's stimulus measures, offsetting a strengthening U.S. dollar. Spot silver trades at $23.45/oz, up 5% weekly on gold's safe-haven rally, but faces headwinds from elevated Fed funds rates holding real yields positive at 1.8%. Key catalysts include February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC March 19-20, where softer inflation could boost odds past 60% if silver breaks $24.50. Historical precedent shows 70% success rate for similar rallies pre-summer demand season, though recession fears cap upside.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問