Market icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Market icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$6,929,664 Vol.

Nov 21, 2025
Polymarket

$6,929,664 Vol.

Polymarket

October 30

$77,645 Vol.

Yes

October 31

$153,814 Vol.

No

November 1

$77,419 Vol.

No

November 2

$104,552 Vol.

Yes

November 3

$79,019 Vol.

Yes

November 4

$126,778 Vol.

Yes

November 5

$203,702 Vol.

No

November 6

$49,111 Vol.

No

November 7

$35,457 Vol.

No

November 8

$15,571 Vol.

Yes

November 9

$1,280,816 Vol.

No

November 10

$61,561 Vol.

Yes

November 11

$29,870 Vol.

No

November 12

$92,584 Vol.

Yes

November 13

$54,020 Vol.

No

November 14

$45,955 Vol.

No

November 15

$42,589 Vol.

No

November 16

$83,132 Vol.

Yes

November 17

$87,333 Vol.

Yes

November 18

$85,671 Vol.

No

November 19

$44,963 Vol.

Yes

November 20

$54,782 Vol.

Yes

November 21

$26,088 Vol.

Yes

November 22

$21,268 Vol.

Yes

November 23

$30,534 Vol.

No

November 24

$14,365 Vol.

Yes

November 25

$59,307 Vol.

No

November 26

$53,317 Vol.

Yes

November 27

$33,245 Vol.

No

November 28

$12,086 Vol.

Yes

November 29

$11,476 Vol.

Yes

November 30

$1,857,452 Vol.

No

December 1

$62,509 Vol.

Yes

December 2

$106,063 Vol.

Yes

December 3

$147,719 Vol.

Yes

December 4

$85,586 Vol.

No

December 5

$71,822 Vol.

Yes

December 6

$139,818 Vol.

No

December 7

$60,961 Vol.

No

December 8

$131,667 Vol.

Yes

December 9

$57,324 Vol.

No

December 10

$35,639 Vol.

No

December 11

$31,527 Vol.

No

December 12

$18,538 Vol.

No

December 13

$15,811 Vol.

Yes

December 14

$44,676 Vol.

No

December 15

$15,593 Vol.

No

December 16

$19,598 Vol.

No

December 17

$54,038 Vol.

No

December 18

$20,785 Vol.

Yes

December 19

$18,414 Vol.

Yes

December 20

$156,923 Vol.

Yes

December 21

$95,642 Vol.

Yes

December 22

$103,890 Vol.

No

December 23

$42,350 Vol.

No

December 24

$79,828 Vol.

No

December 25

$97,271 Vol.

Yes

December 26

$90,936 Vol.

No

December 27

$29,623 Vol.

No

December 28

$19,861 Vol.

No

December 29

$18,062 Vol.

No

December 30

$23,206 Vol.

No

December 31

$28,504 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$6,929,664
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 7:14 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Israel strike Gaza on...?」はPolymarket上の63+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「October 30」で100%、次いで「November 2」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Israel strike Gaza on...?」は$6.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 29, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Israel strike Gaza on...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている63+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Israel strike Gaza on...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「October 30」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「November 2」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Israel strike Gaza on...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。