Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily against gold (GC) surpassing the $2,700 threshold by March 31, with Yes shares trading at just 12% implied probability, reflecting cooled enthusiasm amid dollar strength and profit-taking after recent all-time highs near $2,685. Spot gold has pulled back 1.5% this week to around $2,640/oz, pressured by rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.35% and hawkish Fed rhetoric tempering rate-cut bets ahead of tomorrow's core PCE inflation data. Key support holds at the $2,600 psychological level, but upside catalysts like escalating Middle East tensions remain priced in; traders eye Friday's nonfarm payrolls for recession signals that could boost safe-haven demand, though consensus favors sub-2,700 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ゴールド( GC )は3月末までに__を達成しますか?
ゴールド( GC )は3月末までに__を達成しますか?
$1,956,835 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ 4,500ドル
79%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ 3,000ドル
<1%
$1,956,835 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
1%
↑ $5,800
1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ 4,500ドル
79%
↓ $4,300
25%
↓ $4,000
5%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ 3,000ドル
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily against gold (GC) surpassing the $2,700 threshold by March 31, with Yes shares trading at just 12% implied probability, reflecting cooled enthusiasm amid dollar strength and profit-taking after recent all-time highs near $2,685. Spot gold has pulled back 1.5% this week to around $2,640/oz, pressured by rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.35% and hawkish Fed rhetoric tempering rate-cut bets ahead of tomorrow's core PCE inflation data. Key support holds at the $2,600 psychological level, but upside catalysts like escalating Middle East tensions remain priced in; traders eye Friday's nonfarm payrolls for recession signals that could boost safe-haven demand, though consensus favors sub-2,700 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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