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Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

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Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Kamala

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,127 Vol.

Kamala

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,127 Vol.

This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.

The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.

The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.

If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$176,127
終了日
Sep 17, 2024
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ET
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024. The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national. The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th. If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.

提案された結果: Kamala

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Kamala

This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.

The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.

The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.

If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$176,127
終了日
Sep 17, 2024
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ET
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024. The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national. The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th. If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.

提案された結果: Kamala

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Kamala

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" has generated $176.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" is "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will gain more in polls after the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.