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政治·オランダ

次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？

Market icon
政治·オランダ

次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？

VVD＋CDA＋D66 100.0%

PVV + JA21 <1%

PVV＋VVD＋JA21 <1%

PVV＋VVD＋JA21＋D66 <1%

Polymarket

$70,359,348 Vol.

VVD＋CDA＋D66 100.0%

PVV + JA21 <1%

PVV＋VVD＋JA21 <1%

PVV＋VVD＋JA21＋D66 <1%

Polymarket

$70,359,348 Vol.

PVV + JA21

$1,594,757 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋JA21

$1,150,612 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋JA21＋D66

$1,194,469 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD

$3,261,470 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋CDA

$3,311,752 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋D66

$6,830,276 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋CDA＋JA21

$2,386,869 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21

$2,576,739 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66

$1,994,279 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋VVD＋CDA

$1,906,464 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋CDA＋D66

$2,845,799 Vol.

いいえ

PVV + VVD + CDA + D66

$1,256,970 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋JA21

$685,772 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66

$993,780 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋D66

$617,171 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋CDA＋D66

$1,208,010 Vol.

はい

GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA

$368,853 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA＋D66

$5,894,192 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA＋D66

$122,972 Vol.

いいえ

その他

$1,091,369 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋CDA＋JA21

$14,367,772 Vol.

いいえ

VVD＋CDA

$4,104,643 Vol.

いいえ

CDA＋D66

$507,273 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA + VVD

$572,742 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA＋VVD＋D66

$1,188,766 Vol.

いいえ

PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA

$4,282,070 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA＋D66＋CDA

$841,322 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA＋CDA

$1,268,920 Vol.

いいえ

GL/PvdA

$1,262,591 Vol.

いいえ

10月31日までに連立なし

$669,634 Vol.

いいえ

The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.

If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.

The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.

Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.

For example:

If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.

If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".

If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.

In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
音量
$70,359,348
終了日
Oct 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election. If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31". A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances. The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. For example: If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”. If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No". If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”. In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「VVD＋CDA＋D66」で100%、次いで「PVV + JA21」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？」は$70.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 15, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「VVD＋CDA＋D66」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「PVV + JA21」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。