Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,048,959 Vol.
2026/03/31
Third term
<1%
$1,048,959 Vol.
Third term
$863,029 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$1,048,959終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$1,048,959終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問