Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will Trump say in March?" markets reflects close scrutiny of President Trump's public statements from March 1 to 31, 2026, including Truth Social posts, cabinet meetings on March 26, events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, and the FII Priority Summit on March 27. Recent disputes center on a C-SPAN-clipped White House event where Trump appeared to reference "third term" amid talk of his "first term" and "third year," prompting final review with "No" shares heavily favored at over 99% on that outcome despite high volume exceeding $850,000. Other high-volume phrases like "hottest nation," "big fat cat," and "little rocket man" show lower probabilities absent verified transcripts, buoyed by Trump's March remarks on oil prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and stock market gains rather than signature rhetoric. With March concluded, resolution hinges on official sources like video and audio verification, underscoring prediction markets' emphasis on precise evidence over speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,112,401 Vol.
2026/03/31
Third term
<1%
$1,112,401 Vol.
Third term
$926,470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will Trump say in March?" markets reflects close scrutiny of President Trump's public statements from March 1 to 31, 2026, including Truth Social posts, cabinet meetings on March 26, events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, and the FII Priority Summit on March 27. Recent disputes center on a C-SPAN-clipped White House event where Trump appeared to reference "third term" amid talk of his "first term" and "third year," prompting final review with "No" shares heavily favored at over 99% on that outcome despite high volume exceeding $850,000. Other high-volume phrases like "hottest nation," "big fat cat," and "little rocket man" show lower probabilities absent verified transcripts, buoyed by Trump's March remarks on oil prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and stock market gains rather than signature rhetoric. With March concluded, resolution hinges on official sources like video and audio verification, underscoring prediction markets' emphasis on precise evidence over speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$1,112,401終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will Trump say in March?" markets reflects close scrutiny of President Trump's public statements from March 1 to 31, 2026, including Truth Social posts, cabinet meetings on March 26, events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, and the FII Priority Summit on March 27. Recent disputes center on a C-SPAN-clipped White House event where Trump appeared to reference "third term" amid talk of his "first term" and "third year," prompting final review with "No" shares heavily favored at over 99% on that outcome despite high volume exceeding $850,000. Other high-volume phrases like "hottest nation," "big fat cat," and "little rocket man" show lower probabilities absent verified transcripts, buoyed by Trump's March remarks on oil prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and stock market gains rather than signature rhetoric. With March concluded, resolution hinges on official sources like video and audio verification, underscoring prediction markets' emphasis on precise evidence over speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$1,112,401終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will Trump say in March?" markets reflects close scrutiny of President Trump's public statements from March 1 to 31, 2026, including Truth Social posts, cabinet meetings on March 26, events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, and the FII Priority Summit on March 27. Recent disputes center on a C-SPAN-clipped White House event where Trump appeared to reference "third term" amid talk of his "first term" and "third year," prompting final review with "No" shares heavily favored at over 99% on that outcome despite high volume exceeding $850,000. Other high-volume phrases like "hottest nation," "big fat cat," and "little rocket man" show lower probabilities absent verified transcripts, buoyed by Trump's March remarks on oil prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and stock market gains rather than signature rhetoric. With March concluded, resolution hinges on official sources like video and audio verification, underscoring prediction markets' emphasis on precise evidence over speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問