GTA VIの前に何が起こりますか?
GTA VIの前に何が起こりますか?
$18,665,980 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
ドレイクが『Iceman』をリリース
91%
GPT-6のリリース
61%
ロシア・ウクライナ停戦
54%
新しいリアーナのアルバム
54%
トランプ大統領退任
53%
中国が台湾に侵攻
52%
新しいPlayboi Cartiのアルバム
51%
ビットコインが100万ドルに到達
49%
イエス・キリストの再臨
49%
$18,665,980 Vol.
ドレイクが『Iceman』をリリース
$66,937 Vol.
91%
GPT-6のリリース
$605,283 Vol.
61%
ロシア・ウクライナ停戦
$1,363,393 Vol.
54%
新しいリアーナのアルバム
$645,640 Vol.
54%
トランプ大統領退任
$528,862 Vol.
53%
中国が台湾に侵攻
$1,460,978 Vol.
52%
新しいPlayboi Cartiのアルバム
$679,802 Vol.
51%
ビットコインが100万ドルに到達
$3,440,785 Vol.
49%
イエス・キリストの再臨
$9,874,299 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
マーケット開始日: May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$18,665,980終了日
Jul 31, 2026マーケット開始日
May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
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Frequently Asked Questions