US special forces conducted a confirmed ground insertion into Iran within the past day to rescue a downed F-15E pilot, marking the first verifiable US boots on Iranian soil in the ongoing conflict and driving trader consensus toward entry. This follows weeks of US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites since mid-March, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and rapid deployments of Marines, the 82nd Airborne, and over 50,000 regional troops signaling preparation for potential island seizures like Kharg or nuclear site secures. President Trump announced plans to wind down operations in two to three weeks amid talks, including Pakistan-hosted peace efforts, though military posturing sustains uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$117,793,916 Vol.
2026/03/03
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
83%
12月31日
89%
$117,793,916 Vol.
3月31日
$73,299,167 Vol.
<1%
4月30日
$31,583,772 Vol.
83%
12月31日
$10,838,275 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US special forces conducted a confirmed ground insertion into Iran within the past day to rescue a downed F-15E pilot, marking the first verifiable US boots on Iranian soil in the ongoing conflict and driving trader consensus toward entry. This follows weeks of US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites since mid-March, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and rapid deployments of Marines, the 82nd Airborne, and over 50,000 regional troops signaling preparation for potential island seizures like Kharg or nuclear site secures. President Trump announced plans to wind down operations in two to three weeks amid talks, including Pakistan-hosted peace efforts, though military posturing sustains uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
音量
$117,793,916マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US special forces conducted a confirmed ground insertion into Iran within the past day to rescue a downed F-15E pilot, marking the first verifiable US boots on Iranian soil in the ongoing conflict and driving trader consensus toward entry. This follows weeks of US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites since mid-March, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and rapid deployments of Marines, the 82nd Airborne, and over 50,000 regional troops signaling preparation for potential island seizures like Kharg or nuclear site secures. President Trump announced plans to wind down operations in two to three weeks amid talks, including Pakistan-hosted peace efforts, though military posturing sustains uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$117,793,916マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
US special forces conducted a confirmed ground insertion into Iran within the past day to rescue a downed F-15E pilot, marking the first verifiable US boots on Iranian soil in the ongoing conflict and driving trader consensus toward entry. This follows weeks of US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites since mid-March, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and rapid deployments of Marines, the 82nd Airborne, and over 50,000 regional troops signaling preparation for potential island seizures like Kharg or nuclear site secures. President Trump announced plans to wind down operations in two to three weeks amid talks, including Pakistan-hosted peace efforts, though military posturing sustains uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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