Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$360-$365 100.0%
350ドル未満 <1%
$350～$355 <1%
$355〜$360 <1%
$35,295 Vol.
$35,295 Vol.
2026/04/03
350ドル未満
いいえ
$350～$355
いいえ
$355〜$360
いいえ
$360-$365
はい
$365～$370
いいえ
370～375ドル
いいえ
$375～$380
いいえ
$380-$385
いいえ
$385～$390
いいえ
$390～$395
いいえ
395ドル超
いいえ
$360-$365 100.0%
350ドル未満 <1%
$350～$355 <1%
$355〜$360 <1%
$35,295 Vol.
$35,295 Vol.
2026/04/03
350ドル未満
$3,850 Vol.
いいえ
$350～$355
$4,517 Vol.
いいえ
$355〜$360
$2,343 Vol.
いいえ
$360-$365
$6,052 Vol.
はい
$365～$370
$3,022 Vol.
いいえ
370～375ドル
$1,930 Vol.
いいえ
$375～$380
$1,883 Vol.
いいえ
$380-$385
$2,237 Vol.
いいえ
$385～$390
$2,605 Vol.
いいえ
$390～$395
$1,499 Vol.
いいえ
395ドル超
$5,357 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$35,295終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$35,295終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Tesla's share price closed April 2, 2026—the day after Q1 production and deliveries—at $360.59, down 5.4% following a miss on vehicle deliveries of 358,023 units versus consensus estimates around 365,000–372,000, reflecting persistent EV demand weakness, pricing pressures, and rising competition. This post-news stabilization has driven Polymarket's trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the $360–$365 bin at the week-of-March 30 close (Friday, April 3), backed by real capital amid low intraday volatility and technical support near recent lows. Bearish analyst revisions, including HSBC's $131 price target, reinforce caution, though Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the next catalyst; only a sharp reversal from fresh macro data or FSD updates could challenge this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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