Apple (AAPL) share price surged 2.6% to close at $270.23 on April 17, propelled by strong Q1 iPhone shipment data in China—up 20% amid a 4% market contraction, securing 19% share—and a BNP Paribas price target upgrade to $300, fueling trader optimism on AI-driven upgrades and services growth. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster tightly around current levels, with 44.5% odds for $270-$275 and 31.5% for $265-$270, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for modest upside or consolidation amid valuation scrutiny versus analyst averages near $301. Positioning ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 remains key, as pre-report volatility could sway resolution near $265-$280 thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$270-$275 38%
$265-$270 28%
$275-$280 17%
$260-$265 16%
<$240
12%
$240-$245
12%
$245-$250
11%
$250-$255
11%
$255-$260
11%
$260-$265
16%
$265-$270
28%
$270-$275
46%
$275-$280
17%
$280-$285
11%
>$285
14%
$270-$275 38%
$265-$270 28%
$275-$280 17%
$260-$265 16%
<$240
12%
$240-$245
12%
$245-$250
11%
$250-$255
11%
$255-$260
11%
$260-$265
16%
$265-$270
28%
$270-$275
46%
$275-$280
17%
$280-$285
11%
>$285
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Apple (AAPL) share price surged 2.6% to close at $270.23 on April 17, propelled by strong Q1 iPhone shipment data in China—up 20% amid a 4% market contraction, securing 19% share—and a BNP Paribas price target upgrade to $300, fueling trader optimism on AI-driven upgrades and services growth. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster tightly around current levels, with 44.5% odds for $270-$275 and 31.5% for $265-$270, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus for modest upside or consolidation amid valuation scrutiny versus analyst averages near $301. Positioning ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 remains key, as pre-report volatility could sway resolution near $265-$280 thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問