Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million at 29%, outpacing trackers' $145-165 million 3-day domestic estimates amid strong presales ignited by the March 9 final trailer showcasing Donald Glover's Yoshi and Brie Larson's Rosalina. The closely contested bands reflect uncertainty over whether franchise nostalgia and family Easter turnout will surpass the 2023 original's $146 million Friday-Sunday debut (or $204 million 5-day), boosted by minimal competition and RealD 3D/IMAX premiums. Key differentiators include accelerating Fandango sales since March 10 launch and potential walk-up surges, with previews starting Wednesday ahead of the April 1 bow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
>200m 29%
190-200m 19.3%
170-180m 18.4%
180-190m 15.2%
$287,575 Vol.
$287,575 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
7%
160-170m
13%
170-180m
18%
180-190m
15%
190-200m
19%
>200m
29%
>200m 29%
190-200m 19.3%
170-180m 18.4%
180-190m 15.2%
$287,575 Vol.
$287,575 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
$21,652 Vol.
7%
160-170m
$21,226 Vol.
13%
170-180m
$20,302 Vol.
18%
180-190m
$21,161 Vol.
15%
190-200m
$21,780 Vol.
19%
>200m
$181,452 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million at 29%, outpacing trackers' $145-165 million 3-day domestic estimates amid strong presales ignited by the March 9 final trailer showcasing Donald Glover's Yoshi and Brie Larson's Rosalina. The closely contested bands reflect uncertainty over whether franchise nostalgia and family Easter turnout will surpass the 2023 original's $146 million Friday-Sunday debut (or $204 million 5-day), boosted by minimal competition and RealD 3D/IMAX premiums. Key differentiators include accelerating Fandango sales since March 10 launch and potential walk-up surges, with previews starting Wednesday ahead of the April 1 bow.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
音量
$287,575終了日
Apr 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million at 29%, outpacing trackers' $145-165 million 3-day domestic estimates amid strong presales ignited by the March 9 final trailer showcasing Donald Glover's Yoshi and Brie Larson's Rosalina. The closely contested bands reflect uncertainty over whether franchise nostalgia and family Easter turnout will surpass the 2023 original's $146 million Friday-Sunday debut (or $204 million 5-day), boosted by minimal competition and RealD 3D/IMAX premiums. Key differentiators include accelerating Fandango sales since March 10 launch and potential walk-up surges, with previews starting Wednesday ahead of the April 1 bow.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$287,575終了日
Apr 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million at 29%, outpacing trackers' $145-165 million 3-day domestic estimates amid strong presales ignited by the March 9 final trailer showcasing Donald Glover's Yoshi and Brie Larson's Rosalina. The closely contested bands reflect uncertainty over whether franchise nostalgia and family Easter turnout will surpass the 2023 original's $146 million Friday-Sunday debut (or $204 million 5-day), boosted by minimal competition and RealD 3D/IMAX premiums. Key differentiators include accelerating Fandango sales since March 10 launch and potential walk-up surges, with previews starting Wednesday ahead of the April 1 bow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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