Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026, with "Up" at an implied 90.5% probability, driven by Q1's explosive pace exceeding 55,000 job cuts across 200+ events—surpassing early 2025 figures by over 50% year-over-year per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. Major firms including Amazon (16,000+ cuts), Meta, Oracle, and Intel are restructuring workforces to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure and automation, citing efficiency gains amid slowing growth and high interest rates. Recent announcements, such as Oracle's deep cuts this week, reinforce the trend. While a surprise economic rebound or AI hiring boom could temper this, historical patterns and ongoing AI displacement make downside scenarios unlikely before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日増加
$10,387 Vol.
$10,387 Vol.
2027/02/28
増加
$10,387 Vol.
$10,387 Vol.
2027/02/28
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026, with "Up" at an implied 90.5% probability, driven by Q1's explosive pace exceeding 55,000 job cuts across 200+ events—surpassing early 2025 figures by over 50% year-over-year per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. Major firms including Amazon (16,000+ cuts), Meta, Oracle, and Intel are restructuring workforces to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure and automation, citing efficiency gains amid slowing growth and high interest rates. Recent announcements, such as Oracle's deep cuts this week, reinforce the trend. While a surprise economic rebound or AI hiring boom could temper this, historical patterns and ongoing AI displacement make downside scenarios unlikely before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$10,387終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026, with "Up" at an implied 90.5% probability, driven by Q1's explosive pace exceeding 55,000 job cuts across 200+ events—surpassing early 2025 figures by over 50% year-over-year per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. Major firms including Amazon (16,000+ cuts), Meta, Oracle, and Intel are restructuring workforces to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure and automation, citing efficiency gains amid slowing growth and high interest rates. Recent announcements, such as Oracle's deep cuts this week, reinforce the trend. While a surprise economic rebound or AI hiring boom could temper this, historical patterns and ongoing AI displacement make downside scenarios unlikely before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$10,387終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026, with "Up" at an implied 90.5% probability, driven by Q1's explosive pace exceeding 55,000 job cuts across 200+ events—surpassing early 2025 figures by over 50% year-over-year per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. Major firms including Amazon (16,000+ cuts), Meta, Oracle, and Intel are restructuring workforces to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure and automation, citing efficiency gains amid slowing growth and high interest rates. Recent announcements, such as Oracle's deep cuts this week, reinforce the trend. While a surprise economic rebound or AI hiring boom could temper this, historical patterns and ongoing AI displacement make downside scenarios unlikely before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問