South Carolina's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent GOP landslides in statewide races, anchors the 88% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. The state's conservative electorate, reflected in supermajority Republican control of the legislature and Donald Trump's 14-point 2020 win, bolsters this pricing. Recent Republican primary filings by high-profile contenders like Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette and Attorney General Alan Wilson have solidified party strength, while Democratic hopefuls such as Annie Andrews remain longshots amid limited fundraising and name recognition. Traders price in minimal upset risk ahead of the March 2026 primaries, with odds stable absent major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
共和党
88%

民主党
12%

共和党
88%

民主党
12%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent GOP landslides in statewide races, anchors the 88% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. The state's conservative electorate, reflected in supermajority Republican control of the legislature and Donald Trump's 14-point 2020 win, bolsters this pricing. Recent Republican primary filings by high-profile contenders like Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette and Attorney General Alan Wilson have solidified party strength, while Democratic hopefuls such as Annie Andrews remain longshots amid limited fundraising and name recognition. Traders price in minimal upset risk ahead of the March 2026 primaries, with odds stable absent major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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