Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for silver futures (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by surging industrial demand in solar photovoltaics and electric vehicles alongside mine supply disruptions in Peru and Mexico. Spot silver hovers at $29.82—near record highs, up 22% year-to-date—buoyed by a softening U.S. dollar (DXY below 105) and persistent Fed rate cut wagers after the June FOMC held steady but signaled September easing. However, robust U.S. jobs data and elevated Treasury yields cap momentum. Traders eye the June 26 PCE inflation report as pivotal, with upside risks from hotter geopolitics but downside from stronger-than-expected prints testing $29 support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日シルバー( SI )は6月末までに__を達成しますか?
シルバー( SI )は6月末までに__を達成しますか?
$3,072,840 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ 230ドル
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
5%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
14%
↑ $120
20%
↓ 65ドル
66%
↓ $60
49%
↓ $55
29%
↓ $45
18%
↓ $35
6%
$3,072,840 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ 230ドル
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
5%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
14%
↑ $120
20%
↓ 65ドル
66%
↓ $60
49%
↓ $55
29%
↓ $45
18%
↓ $35
6%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for silver futures (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by surging industrial demand in solar photovoltaics and electric vehicles alongside mine supply disruptions in Peru and Mexico. Spot silver hovers at $29.82—near record highs, up 22% year-to-date—buoyed by a softening U.S. dollar (DXY below 105) and persistent Fed rate cut wagers after the June FOMC held steady but signaled September easing. However, robust U.S. jobs data and elevated Treasury yields cap momentum. Traders eye the June 26 PCE inflation report as pivotal, with upside risks from hotter geopolitics but downside from stronger-than-expected prints testing $29 support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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