Polymarket traders assign a 65% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by a recent 5% monthly rally fueled by robust industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors amid China's stimulus measures and a weakening U.S. dollar index below 105. Spot silver trades at $29.75, just shy of the threshold, with COMEX SI futures reflecting bullish momentum from elevated ETF inflows exceeding 1,200 tonnes YTD. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC pivot at the June 12 meeting or hotter-than-expected CPI data tomorrow, which could strengthen the dollar and cap gains; historical June seasonality shows silver averaging 1.2% upside but volatile around Fed events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日シルバー( SI )は6月末までに__を達成しますか?
シルバー( SI )は6月末までに__を達成しますか?
$3,429,354 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ 230ドル
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
16%
↓ 65ドル
83%
↓ $60
57%
↓ $55
51%
↓ $45
26%
↓ $35
7%
$3,429,354 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ 230ドル
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
16%
↓ 65ドル
83%
↓ $60
57%
↓ $55
51%
↓ $45
26%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 65% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by a recent 5% monthly rally fueled by robust industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors amid China's stimulus measures and a weakening U.S. dollar index below 105. Spot silver trades at $29.75, just shy of the threshold, with COMEX SI futures reflecting bullish momentum from elevated ETF inflows exceeding 1,200 tonnes YTD. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC pivot at the June 12 meeting or hotter-than-expected CPI data tomorrow, which could strengthen the dollar and cap gains; historical June seasonality shows silver averaging 1.2% upside but volatile around Fed events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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