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Romania Presidential Election Winner

Nicușor Dan 100.0%

Marcela-Lavinia Șandru <1%

Ilie Bolojan <1%

Anton Pisaroglu <1%

Polymarket

$234,266,874 Vol.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/).

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Romanian presidential election including any potential second round.

This market is inclusive of any election which results in the selection of the next Romanian President. For example, if Romania decides to recertify the results of the November 2024 election, this market would resolve accordingly.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
音量
$234,266,874
終了日
May 18, 2025
作成日時
Jan 17, 2025, 5:05 PM ET
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Romanian presidential election including any potential second round. This market is inclusive of any election which results in the selection of the next Romanian President. For example, if Romania decides to recertify the results of the November 2024 election, this market would resolve accordingly. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Romania Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nicușor Dan" at 100%, followed by "Marcela-Lavinia Șandru" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romania Presidential Election Winner" has generated $234.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romania Presidential Election Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Romania Presidential Election Winner" is "Nicușor Dan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcela-Lavinia Șandru" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Romania Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Romania Presidential Election Winner

Nicușor Dan 100.0%

Marcela-Lavinia Șandru <1%

Ilie Bolojan <1%

Anton Pisaroglu <1%

Polymarket

$234,266,874 Vol.

Market icon

Marcela-Lavinia Șandru

$501,353 Vol.

No

Market icon

Ilie Bolojan

$2,556,249 Vol.

No

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Anton Pisaroglu

$685,625 Vol.

No

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Călin Georgescu

$3,881,020 Vol.

No

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George Simion

$31,796,893 Vol.

No

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Victor Ponta

$9,883,931 Vol.

No

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Nicușor Dan

$50,991,003 Vol.

Yes

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Elena Lasconi

$3,477,040 Vol.

No

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Other

$15,687,663 Vol.

No

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Crin Antonescu

$7,373,293 Vol.

No

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Marcel Ciolacu

$1,258,918 Vol.

No

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Ana Birchall

$15,606,066 Vol.

No

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Nicolae Ciucă

$531,740 Vol.

No

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Mircea Geoană

$751,326 Vol.

No

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Hunor Kelemen

$80,897,097 Vol.

No

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Daniel Funeriu

$1,973,081 Vol.

No

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Teodor Nițulescu

$636,589 Vol.

No

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Cristian Sima

$1,141,855 Vol.

No

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Anamaria Gavrilă

$1,471,675 Vol.

No

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Diana Șoșoacă

$658,991 Vol.

No

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Cristian-Vasile Terheș

$423,791 Vol.

No

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John-Ion Banu-Muscel

$423,705 Vol.

No

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Sebastian-Constantin Popescu

$765,136 Vol.

No

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Silviu Predoiu

$892,832 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Romania Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nicușor Dan" at 100%, followed by "Marcela-Lavinia Șandru" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romania Presidential Election Winner" has generated $234.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romania Presidential Election Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Romania Presidential Election Winner" is "Nicușor Dan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcela-Lavinia Șandru" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Romania Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.