Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) for the most seats in Peru's new Senate, reflecting highly fragmented polls with no party exceeding 15% intention of vote amid high undecideds around 35%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys from late March show FP and Renovación Popular (RP) edging ahead in urban areas, but JP gaining in rural strongholds per IEP data, keeping the race tight as the April 12 election nears. The first round of presidential debates reduced undecideds slightly without consolidating legislative support, while proportional representation and a 5% electoral barrier amplify volatility. Final debates, regional turnout, or last-minute endorsements could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日JP 35.6%
FP 24%
RP 16%
APP 7%
$14,309 Vol.
$14,309 Vol.
2026/04/12
JP
36%
FP
24%
RP
16%
APP
7%
AvP
3%
SP
3%
PL
2%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
JP 35.6%
FP 24%
RP 16%
APP 7%
$14,309 Vol.
$14,309 Vol.
2026/04/12
JP
$7,994 Vol.
36%
FP
$963 Vol.
24%
RP
$916 Vol.
16%
APP
$1,081 Vol.
7%
AvP
$1,045 Vol.
3%
SP
$517 Vol.
3%
PL
$512 Vol.
2%
PP
$739 Vol.
<1%
AP
$542 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) for the most seats in Peru's new Senate, reflecting highly fragmented polls with no party exceeding 15% intention of vote amid high undecideds around 35%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys from late March show FP and Renovación Popular (RP) edging ahead in urban areas, but JP gaining in rural strongholds per IEP data, keeping the race tight as the April 12 election nears. The first round of presidential debates reduced undecideds slightly without consolidating legislative support, while proportional representation and a 5% electoral barrier amplify volatility. Final debates, regional turnout, or last-minute endorsements could tip the balance toward separation.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
音量
$14,309終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) for the most seats in Peru's new Senate, reflecting highly fragmented polls with no party exceeding 15% intention of vote amid high undecideds around 35%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys from late March show FP and Renovación Popular (RP) edging ahead in urban areas, but JP gaining in rural strongholds per IEP data, keeping the race tight as the April 12 election nears. The first round of presidential debates reduced undecideds slightly without consolidating legislative support, while proportional representation and a 5% electoral barrier amplify volatility. Final debates, regional turnout, or last-minute endorsements could tip the balance toward separation.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
音量
$14,309終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Juntos por el Perú (JP) narrowly ahead of Fuerza Popular (FP) for the most seats in Peru's new Senate, reflecting highly fragmented polls with no party exceeding 15% intention of vote amid high undecideds around 35%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys from late March show FP and Renovación Popular (RP) edging ahead in urban areas, but JP gaining in rural strongholds per IEP data, keeping the race tight as the April 12 election nears. The first round of presidential debates reduced undecideds slightly without consolidating legislative support, while proportional representation and a 5% electoral barrier amplify volatility. Final debates, regional turnout, or last-minute endorsements could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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