Official ONPE tallies from the April 12-13, 2026, general election confirm Fuerza Popular (FP) securing 22 of 60 Senate seats—the largest bloc in Peru's restored bicameral Congress—ahead of Juntos por el Perú's 14 and Renovación Popular's 8, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on FP as the winner by most seats. FP's strong nationwide and regional district performance, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead, solidified this edge amid high fragmentation among 35 presidential candidates and logistical voting delays. Post-election fraud claims by RP leader Rafael López Aliaga were rejected 3-2 by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), with proclamations finalized by May 8 and ONPE leadership changes unrelated to results. While improbable, a successful late appeal overturning seat allocations could shift outcomes ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日FP 99.6%
APP <1%
AvP <1%
PL <1%
$94,675 Vol.
$94,675 Vol.

FP
100%

APP
<1%

AvP
<1%

PL
<1%

SP
<1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%

RP
<1%

JP
<1%
FP 99.6%
APP <1%
AvP <1%
PL <1%
$94,675 Vol.
$94,675 Vol.

FP
100%

APP
<1%

AvP
<1%

PL
<1%

SP
<1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%

RP
<1%

JP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Official ONPE tallies from the April 12-13, 2026, general election confirm Fuerza Popular (FP) securing 22 of 60 Senate seats—the largest bloc in Peru's restored bicameral Congress—ahead of Juntos por el Perú's 14 and Renovación Popular's 8, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on FP as the winner by most seats. FP's strong nationwide and regional district performance, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead, solidified this edge amid high fragmentation among 35 presidential candidates and logistical voting delays. Post-election fraud claims by RP leader Rafael López Aliaga were rejected 3-2 by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), with proclamations finalized by May 8 and ONPE leadership changes unrelated to results. While improbable, a successful late appeal overturning seat allocations could shift outcomes ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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