Oklahoma's deep Republican entrenchment, with supermajority legislative control and consistent GOP presidential landslides, anchors the 93% trader consensus for a Republican gubernatorial winner in 2026, as term-limited Gov. Kevin Stitt exits. Attorney General Gentner Drummond dominates early GOP primary polls at around 40%, buoyed by his conservative credentials challenging federal policies and feuding with Stitt, while Democrats lack a viable contender amid weak fundraising and name recognition. Recent polling stability and quiet primary filings reinforce this edge. Realistic challenges include a Drummond scandal, chaotic GOP infighting yielding a flawed nominee, or an unlikely Democratic surge via national anti-GOP backlash, though historical base rates favor Republicans decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,047 Vol.
$12,047 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$12,047 Vol.
$12,047 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$5,066 Vol.
93%
民主党
$6,981 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$12,047終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$12,047終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's deep Republican entrenchment, with supermajority legislative control and consistent GOP presidential landslides, anchors the 93% trader consensus for a Republican gubernatorial winner in 2026, as term-limited Gov. Kevin Stitt exits. Attorney General Gentner Drummond dominates early GOP primary polls at around 40%, buoyed by his conservative credentials challenging federal policies and feuding with Stitt, while Democrats lack a viable contender amid weak fundraising and name recognition. Recent polling stability and quiet primary filings reinforce this edge. Realistic challenges include a Drummond scandal, chaotic GOP infighting yielding a flawed nominee, or an unlikely Democratic surge via national anti-GOP backlash, though historical base rates favor Republicans decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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