Thai lawmakers are poised to elect a new prime minister imminently following Srettha Thavisin's court removal last month, with Pheu Thai Party nominee Paetongtarn Shinawatra securing endorsements from the 314-seat ruling coalition in the 500-member House of Representatives. This overwhelming support, amid smooth nomination procedures, underpins trader consensus at 99.9% for selection by March 31, reflecting historical patterns where coalition majorities swiftly install successors. Realistic risks include unforeseen Constitutional Court interventions—common in Thai politics—or rare coalition defections, though current evidence shows strong unity ahead of the scheduled joint session.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Thai lawmakers are poised to elect a new prime minister imminently following Srettha Thavisin's court removal last month, with Pheu Thai Party nominee Paetongtarn Shinawatra securing endorsements from the 314-seat ruling coalition in the 500-member House of Representatives. This overwhelming support, amid smooth nomination procedures, underpins trader consensus at 99.9% for selection by March 31, reflecting historical patterns where coalition majorities swiftly install successors. Realistic risks include unforeseen Constitutional Court interventions—common in Thai politics—or rare coalition defections, though current evidence shows strong unity ahead of the scheduled joint session.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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