Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability to become Apple's next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 22, 2026, in-depth profile portraying him as Tim Cook's "heir apparent"—the well-liked senior vice president of Hardware Engineering who has spearheaded product quality reversals and oversees development of iPhones, Macs, and emerging AI hardware like Apple silicon chips. His rising visibility coincides with Apple's 50th anniversary and ongoing succession planning amid executive transitions. Sabih Khan's ascent to chief operating officer in 2025 elevates him to 14%, underscoring supply chain expertise amid U.S.-China tensions, while marketing SVP Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and software SVP Craig Federighi (7%) lag due to specialized roles. Cook recently dismissed near-term retirement rumors, leaving timelines uncertain ahead of key 2026 product launches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ジョン・ターナス 44%
サビフ・カーン 14%
クレイグ・フェデリギ 7.0%
グレッグ・ジョズウィアック 3.2%
$667,927 Vol.
$667,927 Vol.
ジョン・ターナス
44%
サビフ・カーン
14%
クレイグ・フェデリギ
7%
グレッグ・ジョズウィアック
10%
ジョン・ターナス 44%
サビフ・カーン 14%
クレイグ・フェデリギ 7.0%
グレッグ・ジョズウィアック 3.2%
$667,927 Vol.
$667,927 Vol.
ジョン・ターナス
44%
サビフ・カーン
14%
クレイグ・フェデリギ
7%
グレッグ・ジョズウィアック
10%
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability to become Apple's next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 22, 2026, in-depth profile portraying him as Tim Cook's "heir apparent"—the well-liked senior vice president of Hardware Engineering who has spearheaded product quality reversals and oversees development of iPhones, Macs, and emerging AI hardware like Apple silicon chips. His rising visibility coincides with Apple's 50th anniversary and ongoing succession planning amid executive transitions. Sabih Khan's ascent to chief operating officer in 2025 elevates him to 14%, underscoring supply chain expertise amid U.S.-China tensions, while marketing SVP Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and software SVP Craig Federighi (7%) lag due to specialized roles. Cook recently dismissed near-term retirement rumors, leaving timelines uncertain ahead of key 2026 product launches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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